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Sat Oct 31, 2020, 09:47 AM

moose65 (2,390 posts)

NC Voting Update: October 31

October 15 was the first day of Early Voting in NC. After the sites closed on Friday, October 30, here are the updated totals:

Mail-in ballots received: 907,742
Early voting (16 days): 3,437,684

Total: 4,345,426

Party breakdown of those who have voted:

Democratic: 1,633,733
Republican: 1,378,537
Unaffiliated: 1,310,505
Libertarian: 18,905
Constitution: 1,946
Green: 1,760

59.2% of registered voters have already voted.

We have now reached 91.1% of the 2016 votes cast.

We have also surpassed the number of early and mail-in votes from 2016 by almost 1,200,000, with 1 day of Early Voting to go.

62.4% of the registered Democrats in NC have already voted.

Sources: https://carolinaelections.com/votetracker/gen2020 and https://www.ncsbe.gov/

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22 replies	Author	Time	Post
NC Voting Update: October 31 (Original post)	moose65	Oct 2020	OP
Unaffiliated voters are younger voters and likely break more to	beachbumbob	Oct 2020	#1
The kind of turnout we have seen is likely to blow up most LV models	YessirAtsaFact	Oct 2020	#3
Everything tells me this is a blow out election on all levels but nothing	beachbumbob	Oct 2020	#4
Yes, I also suffer from 2016 PTSD	YessirAtsaFact	Oct 2020	#7
I ignore 2016 is so NOT related to 2020, the concern this time is being sure	beachbumbob	Oct 2020	#9
Intellectually, I agree with everything you're saying	YessirAtsaFact	Oct 2020	#11
Thanks for posting this	YessirAtsaFact	Oct 2020	#2
I noticed that there are thousands	Rice4VP	Oct 2020	#5
At least some of the people who requested absentee ballots might have changed their mind.	LisaL	Oct 2020	#8
You CAN lwys vote in person after a request for a mail in ballot, they notate the polling roll book	beachbumbob	Oct 2020	#10
Same here in FL	obamanut2012	Oct 2020	#12
Thanks. I wish they updated the numbers to	Rice4VP	Oct 2020	#13
At least some of those 3rd party voters are voting for Biden	FakeNoose	Oct 2020	#6
Good point about home being safe for a RePutinican	NoMoreRepugs	Oct 2020	#15
Was thinking along the same lines.	WinstonSmith4740	Oct 2020	#19
62.4% is encouraging	bucolic_frolic	Oct 2020	#14
my father-in-law was a lifelong Republican, now Unaffiliated in NC	BernieBabies	Oct 2020	#16
Ditto	onetexan	Oct 2020	#22
Quick check of NC BOE stats	DeminPennswoods	Oct 2020	#17
Thanks for the update!	PatrickforO	Oct 2020	#18
this is really good.	barbtries	Oct 2020	#20
19,000 Libertarian votes!	Roisin Ni Fiachra	Oct 2020	#21

Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:00 AM

beachbumbob (9,263 posts)

1. Unaffiliated voters are younger voters and likely break more to

democrats and often under not captured by pollsters to begin with.

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Response to beachbumbob (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:03 AM

YessirAtsaFact (2,064 posts)

3. The kind of turnout we have seen is likely to blow up most LV models

I'm hoping for a Biden landslide, but would be happy for any win that removes the Orange Menace.

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Response to YessirAtsaFact (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:08 AM

beachbumbob (9,263 posts)

4. Everything tells me this is a blow out election on all levels but nothing

is won until we all vote and make sure the votes are counted. The war will be over signatures.

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Response to beachbumbob (Reply #4)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:39 AM

YessirAtsaFact (2,064 posts)

7. Yes, I also suffer from 2016 PTSD

Every sign, from the consistent polling to the increase in the young voter turnout to the crazy overall turnout numbers says Democratic blowout win.

I voted over a month ago and I've donated at least twice as much money as I've ever donated.

And I'm still nervous as hell.

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Response to YessirAtsaFact (Reply #7)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:57 AM

beachbumbob (9,263 posts)

9. I ignore 2016 is so NOT related to 2020, the concern this time is being sure

mail in ballots are counted and we have lots of direct control with that with election judges and the methodology used. Keep stressing vote vote vote and make this a historic blow out

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Response to beachbumbob (Reply #9)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:03 AM

YessirAtsaFact (2,064 posts)

11. Intellectually, I agree with everything you're saying

My gut on the other hand...

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:01 AM

YessirAtsaFact (2,064 posts)

2. Thanks for posting this

I'm an NC native living in Glen Allen, VA.

Do you know what percentage of registered Republicans have already voted?

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:14 AM

Rice4VP (1,235 posts)

5. I noticed that there are thousands

Of ballots not mailed back in NC. Did people walk these in? Dems only at 62% return

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

Some states have 80-90% returned

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Response to Rice4VP (Reply #5)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:42 AM

LisaL (43,605 posts)

8. At least some of the people who requested absentee ballots might have changed their mind.

In NC, people who requested absentees are allowed to change their mind and vote in person.

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Response to LisaL (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:58 AM

beachbumbob (9,263 posts)

10. You CAN lwys vote in person after a request for a mail in ballot, they notate the polling roll book

AND IF a mail in ballot is received after voting in person, you will be arrested

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Response to LisaL (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:10 AM

obamanut2012 (21,879 posts)

12. Same here in FL

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Response to LisaL (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:34 AM

Rice4VP (1,235 posts)

13. Thanks. I wish they updated the numbers to

reflect that. Thanks

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:18 AM

FakeNoose (21,975 posts)

6. At least some of those 3rd party voters are voting for Biden

... also I'm of the opinion that some GOP members are also voting blue this time. The mailed ballots make it easier to decide privately at home that "Enough is enough!" and vote for the other guy.

My feeling is that most of the indies are motivated to vote against Chump for one reason or another. That includes a lot of younger voters who have liberal sensibilities but are turned off by both political parties. Maybe they won't join our Party, but they're smart enough to see the damage that Chump has done in the last 4 years. I was there for a lot of years, I remained independent until 2008, but I always voted with the Democrats.

Congratulations North Carolina Democrats!

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Response to FakeNoose (Reply #6)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:45 AM

NoMoreRepugs (6,508 posts)

15. Good point about home being safe for a RePutinican

to vote Biden. No crazed trumpinistas at the polling place standing outside giving everyone the stink eye.

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Response to FakeNoose (Reply #6)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:07 PM

WinstonSmith4740 (2,767 posts)

19. Was thinking along the same lines.

Independents tend to vote Democratic, and I also can't see enough Democrats voting for Trump to outweigh the number of Republicans who will be voting for Biden.

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:41 AM

bucolic_frolic (29,184 posts)

14. 62.4% is encouraging

Typically we hit about what, 42-49%?

Keep it going!

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:53 AM

BernieBabies (78 posts)

16. my father-in-law was a lifelong Republican, now Unaffiliated in NC

I'm also hoping that other unaffiliated are ex-Republicans who could never be Democrats but also never Trumpers.

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Response to BernieBabies (Reply #16)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:31 PM

onetexan (10,086 posts)

22. Ditto

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:01 PM

DeminPennswoods (13,274 posts)

17. Quick check of NC BOE stats

Approx 2.6M D, 2.2M R, 2.4M Ind.

That would suggest at 100% turnout, there's about 1M votes each from Ds and Is left and about 900k R.

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:03 PM

PatrickforO (13,193 posts)

18. Thanks for the update!

That is cheerful news indeed.

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:26 PM

barbtries (25,555 posts)

20. this is really good.

a substantial number of republicans are going to be voting Democratic. I think Joe wins NC.

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Response to moose65 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:30 PM

Roisin Ni Fiachra (1,926 posts)

21. 19,000 Libertarian votes!

Many of them Republicans who couldn't vote for Trump?

They sure ain't lefties.

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