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My Pet Orangutan

(9,244 posts) Mon Nov 2, 2020, 10:56 AM Nov 2020

538: Same as it ever was - Biden 90%

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15 replies

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538: Same as it ever was - Biden 90% (Original Post) My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 OP

The tie line represents 270-270 exboyfil Nov 2020 #1

The tie line is 269. My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #2

Tie would be 269-269 vollehosen Nov 2020 #3

I know it's not 538 but PLEASE PLEASE OH PLEASE Chili Nov 2020 #5

I'd rather have 90% than 72% Good news! mucifer Nov 2020 #4

Look at it like this Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #6

Nice way of putting it into perspective. StarryNite Nov 2020 #12

No, this is not the same as it ever was. This is continuing improvement! lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #7

Hillary was getting back up in the last days My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #8

Probably true. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #10

I met to say 269-269 is the tie line exboyfil Nov 2020 #9

The scale is difference between the candidates total electoral votes. califootman Nov 2020 #11

Thanks exboyfil Nov 2020 #13

Kick. My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #14

Kick My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #15

exboyfil

(17,862 posts)

1. The tie line represents 270-270

Reply to My Pet Orangutan (Original post)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:00 AM

Nov 2020

how can you have over 270 votes for Biden past the tie?

My Pet Orangutan

(9,244 posts)

2. The tie line is 269.

Reply to exboyfil (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:01 AM

Nov 2020

vollehosen

(130 posts)

3. Tie would be 269-269

Reply to exboyfil (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:02 AM

Nov 2020

Chili

(1,725 posts)

5. I know it's not 538 but PLEASE PLEASE OH PLEASE

Reply to exboyfil (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:13 AM

Nov 2020

As of today, they have 1 tie in the Senate.

PLEASE final EV tomorrow or this week or WHEN:

mucifer

(23,539 posts)

4. I'd rather have 90% than 72% Good news!

Reply to My Pet Orangutan (Original post)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:04 AM

Nov 2020

Johnny2X2X

(19,060 posts)

6. Look at it like this

Reply to mucifer (Reply #4)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:15 AM

Nov 2020

9% vs 29%.

1 in 11 vs almost 1 in 3. You bet 100 dollars on something that has a 3/1 chance of happening and you win $300. 11/1 is $1100. It's a massive difference. 90 doesn't sound much higher than 72, but 28 is much higher than 9!

StarryNite

(9,444 posts)

12. Nice way of putting it into perspective.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #6)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:44 AM

Nov 2020

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)

7. No, this is not the same as it ever was. This is continuing improvement!

Reply to My Pet Orangutan (Original post)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:17 AM

Nov 2020

And clearly, WAY better than Hillary's odds.

My Pet Orangutan

(9,244 posts)

8. Hillary was getting back up in the last days

Reply to lagomorph777 (Reply #7)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:24 AM

Nov 2020

after Comey announced there was nothing in the emails. Two days later, and she would have won.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)

10. Probably true.

Reply to My Pet Orangutan (Reply #8)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:37 AM

Nov 2020

exboyfil

(17,862 posts)

9. I met to say 269-269 is the tie line

Reply to My Pet Orangutan (Original post)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:34 AM

Nov 2020

+400 to 269 is 669 so how can the blue ball to the very right be correct? Maximum is 538.

There is something strange about the scale.

califootman

(120 posts)

11. The scale is difference between the candidates total electoral votes.

Reply to exboyfil (Reply #9)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:43 AM

Nov 2020

So the TIE line is each candidate with 269 electoral votes.

+200 would be Biden at 369 EV, with Trump at 169.

+400 would be Biden with 469 EV, Trump with 69.