Texas and elsewhere, I worry the polls and predictions are wrong

[Stinky The Clown]

I fear they have undercounted new voters, and young voters.

New voters. They would NOT be voting to support Trump. They WOULD vote to get rid of him.

Young voters. We all know they shew left in a big way.

If my worry is founded, then we come out even better than we're hoping and thinking.





The above is simply my own suspicion based on more than seventy years' worth of life. Call it Old Person Intuition

[relayerbob]

1. I'm very concerned ...

that the Dems may execute a serious drubbing in Texas

[DonaldsRump]

2. You are a very wise soul

[Stinky The Clown]

3. Sparkly just told me Charlie Cook thnks the polls are undercounting white college educated suburban

women.

Another polling error that favors us.

[Thekaspervote]

6. Silver from 538 has said for months now they are being very cautious

Weighting their polls more heavily favoring WWCMV

[ananda]

12. What is WWCMV ?

[KatyMan]

20. White working class male voters

Took a bit of googling but figured it out

[Cha]

14. Thank Sparkly!

[getagrip_already]

4. I'm worried that the black voters...

Are pissed and will turn out for pure spite, especially those that haven't voted since wallace. You think you can frighten US into not voting? You ain't no joe wallace. Bring it!

We can't have that. {sarcasm}

[Under The Radar]

5. It one of those "too good to be true" feelings

I have the same feeling, too cautious to get excited

[dchill]

7. This is NOT 2016!

[Stinky The Clown]

9. yoobetcha!!!!

[Yonnie3]

8. I wish I could adopt an Alfred E Newman stance n/t

[Iliyah]

10. Young voters for sure unless they are counted into ...

the new voters.

If the polls are healthy for the Democratic areas on Nov. 3rd, I would say the party is beginning and we will end it very happy.

[greenjar_01]

11. How was your Old Person Intuition in 2016?

Or were you not quite old enough yet?

[Stinky The Clown]

16. I'm not quite old enough NOW!

[greenjar_01]

21. Haaaa!

Indeed!

Touche.

[StevieM]

28. 2016 was all about James Comey.

He dominated that election from start to finish.

[Big Blue Marble]

13. This what I think, too.

The polls are wrong, the right way and Joe wins bigger than expected.

[empedocles]

15. putin and 'con corruption factors - uncounted votes, etc.

[Silent3]

18. I've got a Susan Collins-size concern going on...

...that Trump is in for a major drubbing!

[BannonsLiver]

19. It took me a second but I got there.

[AmericanCanuck]

25. His concern is that Biden will win with a far greater majority

Not really a concern at all.

[Stinky The Clown]

29. I hope you have some salve for that gunshot wound in your foot.

[Quixote1818]

23. Hillary over performed the polls in Texas in 16 by 3 pts. Maybe it will be more for Biden

for exactly this reason.

[AmericanCanuck]

24. You are correct.

Biden's support is being undercounted because rare voters and new voters don't appear in LV polls.

[Roland99]

26. NEW voters could be less educated racists who've never voted before

but are now worshipping trump

[Stinky The Clown]

27. Heh! While that's possible, I think it is unlikely to be more than a very few new voters.

Sure, a few like Kyle Rittenhouse are out there, but most new voters are motivated by getting rid of Trump.