PA numbers update. Still looks great.

[Fahrenthold451]

Assuming 700k outstanding Mail ballots in PA the question is can Biden make up his current 136,000 vote deficit? The answer is yes. Conservatively assume 70-30 thats 490 Biden 210 Trump, net 280. And that's being pretty conservative.

136,000 Trump Lead minus 280,000 Biden net 144,000 Biden win.


(Edit: I'm saying there are 700k outstanding, combination Mail and Philly. Should have been more clear. Trying to be conservative here)

Here was my analysis yesterday. Numbers are holding.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214447568

[triron]

1. Excellent!

[SheltieLover]

2. K&R!

[qazplm135]

3. It's probably closer to 500 mail

But there may also be provisional and eday day in Philly according to Nate Cohn

[Fahrenthold451]

10. Yeah, I should have made that more clear.

120k Philly in person is better than 120k mail for Biden.

[malaise]

4. Get thee to the greatest page

Go Joe!

[keepthemhonestO]

5. When will it turn for Biden?

When do you suppose we'll have a result?

[Goodheart]

6. Why are you assuming 700k? CNN says Philly only has 125k remaining.

[VMA131Marine]

8. Philly is not the only county with outstanding ballots.

[BumRushDaShow]

9. That # is state wide and is actually lower than the actual which is about 63K more than 700K

See my post here -https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214456319#post7

Philly isn't the whole state. (although we should be )

[BumRushDaShow]

7. As of earlier this morning they were reporting 763,000 outstanding

KYW Newsradio 1060 / News / Local
20 electoral votes up for grabs as Pennsylvania mail-in ballot count continues

By Tim Jimenez and Jim Melwert KYW Newsradio 1060


PHILADELPHIA (KYW Newsradio) -- It is still too early to call a winner in the presidential race in Pennsylvania, because mail-in ballots are still being counted. As of now, according to Pennsylvania's Department of State, close to 30% of mail-in ballots need to be counted. That's 763,000 votes. And that includes somewhere around 120,000 from Philly alone and 134,000 from the suburbs.

Montgomery County officials announced Thursday morning that all eligible votes that were returned by 8 p.m. on Election Day have been counted. The final tally among those votes -- Biden: 313,000; Trump: close to 183,000.

And Bucks County now says Joe Biden has taken a 4,000-vote lead there. It is unclear how this affects statewide numbers, because Pennsylvania hasn’t updated its website yet.

Going into today, President Donald Trump had a 164,000-vote lead over challenger Joe Biden in Pennsylvania. The race has tightened significantly since the county began processing mail-in ballots, as officials say they expected. Mail-in ballots have generally favored Biden across the map. Biden says he's confident he'll win the state.

https://www.radio.com/kywnewsradio/news/local/20-electoral-votes-hinge-on-pa-mail-in-ballot-count

Link to tweet

TEXT

Tim Jimenez
@TimJRadio
·
Nov 5, 2020
Good morning. This is where we stand in Pennsylvania per @CBSNews. #Election2020
Image

Tim Jimenez
@TimJRadio
Per @PAStateDept close to 30% of mail-in ballots haven’t been counted yet. Breaking it down, around 250k are from Philly and the Burbs, with close to half of that figure being from the city.
Image
6:17 AM · Nov 5, 2020

[Goodheart]

11. Wonderful!

[Proud Liberal Dem]

12. Hope this ends soon

I'm almost to chewing on my fingers