General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDo we still have a chance to take the senate
Is it a long shot?
Or is the Senate elections all done now?
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)Keeping fingers crossed!
question everything
(47,479 posts)SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)TruckFump
(5,812 posts)Two seats. IMO, Ossoff has a chance against Perdue. Hoping we get both seats.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)question everything
(47,479 posts)that caucus with us
AlexSFCA
(6,137 posts)it may become the most expensive senate races in history.
Budi
(15,325 posts)💙👍
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)DonaldsRump
(7,715 posts)Don't leave a single stone unturned: cash, time, etc if you have it.
Budi
(15,325 posts)Trifecta!!
Orangepeel
(13,933 posts)It is currently 48-48, with four races uncalled.
1. Alaska (R is far ahead and will win, but they are slow counting),
2. NC (Tillis is ahead but Cunningham hasn't conceded. Mailed votes postmarked by the 3rd can arrive by Nov. 11)
3. and 4. two races in Georgia. One (Warnock) will definitely go to a runoff. The other (Ossoff) will likely go to a runoff if Perdue drops below 50% (likely)
We'd need two of these four. #1 is off the table. #2 is very unlikely given the spread, but good for Cunningham for not conceding.
Unless a miracle happens in NC, we'd have to win both runoff elections. As both had other conservative candidates in the general election syphoning some votes, it won't be easy. But it isn't impossible.
DonaldsRump
(7,715 posts)Not just in Atlanta, but other places. Remember that every remaining vote for Joe yet to be counted is very possibly a vote for Jon Ossoff, helping to force a run-off.
I agree that it won't be easy, but Joe has a lot more sway in GA then any other Dem. If he goes to GA along with BHO etc for a massive push THROUGHOUT the state, I could easily see us picking up both of the seats.
If this happens, I'll do what I can, either remotely or if possible, in person.
TruckFump
(5,812 posts)Amishman
(5,557 posts)156k remaining in NC, ~100k lead.
all remaining are absentee and provisional - which tend to be bluer than their source county, and the majority of these are from blue counties.
Fairly unlikely, but still possible.
Right now I'd give us a 30% chance of winning NC and 15% of topping Tillis
TruckFump
(5,812 posts)Yeah, chances are not great...but ya never know!
sfstaxprep
(9,998 posts)Getting to 50 is going to be tough, but 51 and full control seems impossible. I think Ossoff has a good chance though.
LizBeth
(9,952 posts)That the party in Presidency will then declare majority of senate and of course we would say Democratic. So why wouldn't they have the majority for Justices?
Amishman
(5,557 posts)article from 2016 on this scenario.
after 2000 when there was a 50/50 senate, an interesting power sharing deal was struck, particularly surrounding committee assignments. I would think this would be a likely model to follow.
Assuming we can pull off both GA special elections - historically the Pubs have done well with the runoffs.
If we do get to 50, for controversial measures like abolishing the filibuster for legislation, adding judges, adding states, etc - we won't have the votes. I cannot imagine getting Manchin, Tester, Kelly, Ossoff, and Warnock to go along with it given their purple to red states.