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Nate Silver on Pennsylvania.... (Original Post) pbmus Nov 2020 OP
Thank God. I need good news every 30 seconds MaryMagdaline Nov 2020 #1
Just to give you another perspective TheDemsshouldhireme Nov 2020 #2
Trump told his voters not to vote by mail. Bet he regrets that yellowcanine Nov 2020 #4
What county? I grew up in Lebanon Co. Yes, very red. yellowcanine Nov 2020 #6
Blair TheDemsshouldhireme Nov 2020 #11
That's interesting and I thank you for posting that! Kaleva Nov 2020 #12
Boom!!!! Docreed2003 Nov 2020 #3
We've known this for two days now. joshcryer Nov 2020 #5
Don't need but still want. And GA if possible. yellowcanine Nov 2020 #8
This message was self-deleted by its author iamateacher Nov 2020 #7
That's great! You are Patriots! Bluepinky Nov 2020 #9
From last night Dem2 Nov 2020 #10
I don't share your love affair with Nate Silver. redstatebluegirl Nov 2020 #13
We need to be using more recent numbers, this is too old nt coti Nov 2020 #14
Latest I just heard on the news radio station here in Philly about 10 minutes ago BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #15
Yeah, those Philly (80% win clip) and statewide outstanding coti Nov 2020 #16
2. Just to give you another perspective
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:37 PM
Nov 2020

Im in the deep red part of Pennsyltucky. Trump won my county 73-25, but the mail ballots were 60-40 Biden. So it doesnt have to be a democratic stronghold, Biden is picking up votes almost everywhere with the mail in ballots.

joshcryer

(62,270 posts)
5. We've known this for two days now.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:42 PM
Nov 2020

We're just waiting for the count.

Trump knows he's toast if the count prevails.

They will stop at nothing.

But PA has a Dem Gov, Dem SoS, and election officials only know one thing, how to count and process the vote.

This vote will prevail and it will be certified.

We have won.

And we don't need NV or AZ.

Response to pbmus (Original post)

redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
13. I don't share your love affair with Nate Silver.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:52 PM
Nov 2020

My husband loves him, lives on fivethirtyeight.com but all I see is a guy who thinks he is smarter than everyone else, but can't back it up. He has been wrong more than he has been right. After the fact he is trying to fix it.

Not being nasty just saying how I feel about this guy and his way of seeing things and reporting them.

BumRushDaShow

(128,967 posts)
15. Latest I just heard on the news radio station here in Philly about 10 minutes ago
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:17 PM
Nov 2020

is that we in Philly still have ~91,000 mail-in ballots left to count.

From the city data (updated a couple times a day), the ratio from the last 2 batches reported were running 80% (Biden) - 19% (Trump) and since yesterday the ratio has gone up from 76% to 77% and finally to the current 80% for Biden.

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/ResultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY

Not sure how in sync the city and state sites are.

coti

(4,612 posts)
16. Yeah, those Philly (80% win clip) and statewide outstanding
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:20 PM
Nov 2020

ballots are critical numbers, there have been massive screw ups giving out wrong numbers

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