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Georgia is looking good! (Original Post) MyNameIsKhan Nov 2020 OP
Here comes the honor John Lewis vote!....takes one final jab at dotard... RIP sir!! Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #1
With above numbers, Biden should win by few thousand votes MyNameIsKhan Nov 2020 #2
It would be the perfect coda WA-03 Democrat Nov 2020 #16
Up to 8,000 military ballots due tomorrow though Eid Ma Clack Shaw Nov 2020 #3
Is the deadline for military only or all absentee? PTWB Nov 2020 #19
Are you saying Biden is ahead now in GA by 12,800 votes? MerryBlooms Nov 2020 #4
I believe they are saying Biden is down by that many Maeve Nov 2020 #7
Yes Biden minus 12800 MyNameIsKhan Nov 2020 #8
Yes. Down 12,800. Hoyt Nov 2020 #9
Thanks. Still, that's way better than last I saw. MerryBlooms Nov 2020 #15
Scarlett O'Hara: I'll think about that tomorrow. Tomorrow is another day keithbvadu2 Nov 2020 #5
Watching his presser now. They've come up with a new wrinkle. Military ballots Hoyt Nov 2020 #6
Military and provisional will probably be a wash JCMach1 Nov 2020 #10
Most mail in ballots in general are majority D's MyNameIsKhan Nov 2020 #13
Hope you are right. I'm not so sure. Hoyt Nov 2020 #17
Any idea what county they represent or area? Does that include military ballots? NoMoreRepugs Nov 2020 #11
Trump netted 10 votes with the last update LeftInTX Nov 2020 #12
I'm getting a bit depressed. Not throwing in towel, but if someone made me bet my house . . . . . Hoyt Nov 2020 #20
Imagine if voting access was easy and there was NO suppression - GA would be + 100's of thousands NoMoreRepugs Nov 2020 #14
Georgia probably has easiest access of any state. You can register on-line, vote by mail, 4 weeks Hoyt Nov 2020 #18

WA-03 Democrat

(3,054 posts)
16. It would be the perfect coda
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:43 PM
Nov 2020

John Louis bring this fascist fool to an end.

Next stop for the Trump Train - Rikers Island. State of New York will do us all proud.

I miss John and Elijah every day.

Very proud the entire country voted and despite the pressure, an insane man-child in the WH, pandemic, sabotage at the post office, voter suppression, cries for violence we have pulled it off.

Eid Ma Clack Shaw

(490 posts)
3. Up to 8,000 military ballots due tomorrow though
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:31 PM
Nov 2020

How many of them arrive by the deadline could determine whether the state swings back to Trump even if Biden goes ahead today. I wouldn’t expect a GA call today unless Biden unexpectedly takes a 5-6k lead.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
6. Watching his presser now. They've come up with a new wrinkle. Military ballots
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:34 PM
Nov 2020

have until tomorrow to come in. They expect up to 8000 of those.

While we can argue over how red one thinks military is, those aren’t going to swing heavily for Biden. Out of the 47K, 12K or so are from red counties. trump is up 12,800 right now. There are some ballots that need signatures, etc.

Discounting military ballots and provisional, we need to get about 63.6% to equal beat trump by 60 votes. I'm betting the military goes 60% or more to trump. If so and it's 8000, we are down 1540 with provisional outstanding.

On the other hand, if one thinks 4000 votes from a county like Forsyth -- that literally did not have one Black resident (because the racists threatened to kill them) -- until 1980s, will swing Biden by 60% or so, I wish you were calling it. There are another couple of counties like that.

JCMach1

(27,572 posts)
10. Military and provisional will probably be a wash
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:38 PM
Nov 2020

However, doing my mental math. The race will be low 4 or 3 digits
Either way...

MyNameIsKhan

(2,205 posts)
13. Most mail in ballots in general are majority D's
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:40 PM
Nov 2020

Even if the total of 47k breaks 75-25 as majority of vote is in heavy D counties.

Biden has 35250
Trump 11750 + current lead 12800 = 24550

Biden is +10700

LeftInTX

(25,545 posts)
12. Trump netted 10 votes with the last update
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:39 PM
Nov 2020

That's why I was skeptical when someone said they were from blue areas. I said all outstanding needs to be from at least 70% Biden if Biden is to pull this off. A net of 10 for Trump means that Biden was less than 50% in the last batch of voters.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
20. I'm getting a bit depressed. Not throwing in towel, but if someone made me bet my house . . . . .
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:51 PM
Nov 2020

NoMoreRepugs

(9,456 posts)
14. Imagine if voting access was easy and there was NO suppression - GA would be + 100's of thousands
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:41 PM
Nov 2020

for Biden is my guess.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
18. Georgia probably has easiest access of any state. You can register on-line, vote by mail, 4 weeks
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:49 PM
Nov 2020

of early voting, can check to see if your ballot was accepted on-line, etc. It really can't be any easier.

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