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Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:05 PM

Outstanding votes in Georgia....


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Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Outstanding votes in Georgia.... (Original post)
pbmus Nov 2020 OP
TlalocW Nov 2020 #1
joshcryer Nov 2020 #2
Laelth Nov 2020 #10
regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #12
marybourg Nov 2020 #3
meadowlander Nov 2020 #5
marybourg Nov 2020 #8
Major Nikon Nov 2020 #6
Salviati Nov 2020 #7
LisaL Nov 2020 #4
Squinch Nov 2020 #9
pbmus Nov 2020 #11

Response to pbmus (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:06 PM

1. Are most of those counties

From cities/more pro-Biden areas?

TlalocW

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Response to TlalocW (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:08 PM

2. They're absentee ballots.

Which are trending to Joe regardless of where they are coming out of.

Question is if the ex-pat vote comes in tomorrow and also provisional s need to be counted (people who came to the polls without an ID and need to be verified).

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Response to TlalocW (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:19 PM

10. Clayton is blue (very blue) and big.

Cobb is blue and big.
Floyd is slightly red and medium-sized.
Forsyth used to be all white. These days itís light-blue and fairly big.
Gwinnett is blue and big.
Laurens is light-red and medium-sized.
Taylor is light-blue and small.

Unless the military vote breaks for Trump 90-10, Biden should wind up with a significant lead after the initial count. There may be a recount.

As noted above, however, these remaining votes are coming from mail-in and absentee ballots which, across the country, have favored Biden/Harris.

-Laelth




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Response to TlalocW (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:20 PM

12. Some are, some aren't...

...but here's the thing: around the country, Biden is doing well (although, obviously, not 3:1 well) in mail-in ballots even in deep-red counties. Why? Because Trump told his followers to not vote by mail, so they all showed up at the polls. (Remember the "red mirage?" ) So, since those votes have already been baked into the total, all that remain are the votes from those who didn't heed 45's words, which means they're likely to be Biden votes.

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:08 PM

3. And Biden just needs

>3500 of them. Could that be right? Seems very doable.

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Response to marybourg (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:11 PM

5. He needs 11,000ish

Half of the remaining ballots plus 3,500 to make up Trump's current "lead".

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Response to meadowlander (Reply #5)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:16 PM

8. Ahhh. Good thing I'm not a SofS.

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Response to marybourg (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:14 PM

6. A 60/40 split would do it

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Response to Major Nikon (Reply #6)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:15 PM

7. And I think Biden's been doing a little better that that in the last couple of drops

It's gonna be tight, but so far so good...

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:09 PM

4. There are also mail in ballots that can be cured.

Has to be done soon-tomorrow is the last day to cure.

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:18 PM

9. How long does it take to count to 5000?

That should not take more than an hour and a half.
This is the DU member formerly known as Squinch.

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Response to Squinch (Reply #9)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:20 PM

11. Different counties, different time frames...

And then possible repuker challenges...

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