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Latest Arizona dump, only 3000 vote gain for Trump out of 59000 votes (Original Post) still_one Nov 2020 OP
"ONLY"? any gain by Biden is a huge step from Trump catching up. Claustrum Nov 2020 #1
I meant trump still_one Nov 2020 #5
Ah. Ok. Claustrum Nov 2020 #7
very good. drray23 Nov 2020 #2
I meant trump still_one Nov 2020 #6
I was expecting a small Biden loss with each dump. I think this is actually good. texasfiddler Nov 2020 #3
You mean for Trump? Chichiri Nov 2020 #4
Thanks, just changed it. I don't think trump will catch Biden still_one Nov 2020 #9
Biden didn't gain, but Trump's gain has fallen to 53% in this large tranche ... mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #8
I think we will hold the lead in Arizona. CNN says trump need 58 to 60% to catch up still_one Nov 2020 #11
And that was BEFORE he had 60K votes at only 52.9% mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #13
+++ still_one Nov 2020 #14
We're holding AZ!!!!!!!! lindysalsagal Nov 2020 #10
so far still_one Nov 2020 #12
Biden just under 50%...tRump around 48.5% StarryNite Nov 2020 #15

Claustrum

(4,845 posts)
1. "ONLY"? any gain by Biden is a huge step from Trump catching up.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 12:06 PM
Nov 2020

Trump needs 60%+ of the vote share to overtake Biden's lead. And he is further and further from it.

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
8. Biden didn't gain, but Trump's gain has fallen to 53% in this large tranche ...
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 12:08 PM
Nov 2020

That means he now needs more than 59% for the remainder. My guess is it's probably now up around 65%, but waiting to hear ...

And this is a huge indicator, the first sample of the mail-in ballots that were handed in at polling places ON election day. That's what all the rest are ttbomk. A LOT of these votes are Democrats who didn't trust DeJoy and waited to drop off their mail-in ... in person on Election Day.

IOW, HE'S FUCKING DONE.

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
13. And that was BEFORE he had 60K votes at only 52.9%
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 12:17 PM
Nov 2020

Which means it's no longer 59% for the remaining ones, it's higher, I'm guessing like it's likely up to the mid-60's ... with NO REASON to believe that such a high number will turn out to be the case.

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