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macwriter

(172 posts)
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:06 PM Nov 2020

I was good for a few hours and then...

I made the mistake of watching cable. I have a few assumptions and questions. First my assumptions:

1. Biden is leading in PA and the low estimate is that he'll eventually be 50K to 100K ahead when all votes are counted. Now my question: I heard that estimate this morning and now I'm hearing that provisional ballots (85K ) are breaking toward Trump and it's not the sure thing for Biden that they thought this morning. Can this be correct?

2. AZ is in jeopardy because Maricopa county. It looked better this am and now it doesn't, Is that true?

3. NV looked good, except that it is not as solid as it seems. Is this correct?

Anyone who can direct me to links that could enlighten me. I was elated and now I'm nervous.

Thanks

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I was good for a few hours and then... (Original Post) macwriter Nov 2020 OP
When you need a quick check on the vote predictions Bc804 Nov 2020 #1
I've been doing that regularly PatSeg Nov 2020 #2
This might help a bit PatSeg Nov 2020 #3
PA puts Biden over the top. Anything else is gravy. yardwork Nov 2020 #4
" Trump's path to electoral victory is disappearing. So are his legal avenues." klook Nov 2020 #5
I've been going to this site csziggy Nov 2020 #6
Here you go: W_HAMILTON Nov 2020 #7
THANK YOU! macwriter Nov 2020 #10
Nice. Thank you. Squinch Nov 2020 #12
It's still going to go to Biden--but the networks are antsy BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #8
Yeah, I felt good this morning too. MSNBC is saying Biden is unlikely helpisontheway Nov 2020 #9
I feel your pain macwriter Nov 2020 #11

W_HAMILTON

(7,864 posts)
7. Here you go:
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:19 PM
Nov 2020

1. Wrong, see:




2. It will be close, but the last batch of Maricopa County votes that dropped hurt Trump, see:




3. Wrong. The expert when it comes to Nevada elections has basically called the state for Biden:


BusyBeingBest

(8,052 posts)
8. It's still going to go to Biden--but the networks are antsy
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:23 PM
Nov 2020

until they get to their "tripwire" number. The AZ tightening and the provisional ballot questions are fair reasons not to call it yet--it doesn't mean much beyond the networks ensuring their accuracy/credibility.

helpisontheway

(5,007 posts)
9. Yeah, I felt good this morning too. MSNBC is saying Biden is unlikely
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:25 PM
Nov 2020

to speak now that no stations are calling it for him. Another thing that bothers me is that Nevada had long lines of people curing their ballots. One said the Republicans came to her house and told her that her ballot did not count. Others saying they were not allowed to vote on Election Day. Anyway, I was so happy this morning. Never gonna let myself get happy like that until he is president elect. I feel almost as bad as I did Tuesday night..😢

macwriter

(172 posts)
11. I feel your pain
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:43 PM
Nov 2020

Your post describes my mood exactly! This has been the longest week of my lifetime. If it helps, I found out that Trump is backing off fraud charges and now pushing the idea that the counts are following rules set by each state. I am also encouraged by the team of lawyers for Biden -- some of which are GOP who are now never Trumpers even though they worked on the Bush/Gore recount. I guessd I won't be OK until the networks call it for Biden. I think everyday that goes by Trump continues to terrorize us.

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