General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAli Velshi mentioned tonite that there are Maricopa votes coming in that may allow Arizona to be
called for Biden.
mercuryblues
(14,531 posts)Or are they going to wait until trump needs 125% of the remaining vote to finally call it?
Eyeball_Kid
(7,432 posts)There would be a tilt on Biden's direction if it were votes from Pima.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)NT
Dem2
(8,168 posts)Assuming the count that the Secretary of State has provided is correct, Trump will lose. He needs 86% of the remaining ballots to win. That's virtually impossible.
SCantiGOP
(13,870 posts)If he doesnt believe science why do you think he would accept math?
Dem2
(8,168 posts)soothsayer
(38,601 posts)Cha
(297,220 posts)over" but "caution".
Catherine Vincent
(34,490 posts)Lawrence O'Donnell just mentioned it as well.
FakeNoose
(32,639 posts)The provisional ballots can't be run until everything else is completed. So those are the ballots that were given out on election day, and a lot of them went to voters who returned their mail-in ballot and voted in-person instead. So ... mostly Dems.
Provisional ballots were also given to anyone who voted in-person and might have been unable to provide ID or maybe their address had changed since they registered or last voted. Again ... more likely Dems, or skewing younger anyway.
The provisional ballots are going to break for Biden I believe.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)Everything being counted is eating into his lead. But there are not many ballots left to be counted. And yes, they are counting provisional ballots.
Towlie
(5,324 posts)According to this site it's Biden 1,666,495, Trump 1,655,461. That's a Biden lead of 11,034.
And according to this site there are an estimated total of 16,040 remaining uncounted votes.
The total of votes cast in Arizona is therefore 3,337,996 and 1,668,998 are needed to win.
Biden therefore needs 2,503 votes or 15.6% of the remaining votes and Trump would need 13,537 votes or 84.4% of the remaining votes.
But I'm not sure that those two sites are coordinated together even though they're both in Katie Hobbs' name.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)When new votes drop, the remaining ballots decrease by an appropriate amount.
Towlie
(5,324 posts)... or uncounted votes dropping while vote totals remained the same.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)NT
Towlie
(5,324 posts)11/06/20 11:09 AM 43,569
11/06/20 11:30 AM 43,779
11/06/20 02:49 PM 41,302
11/06/20 05:07 PM 39,769
11/08/20 06:01 PM 19,348
11/09/20 07:08 AM 16,985
11/09/20 02:51 PM 17,131
11/09/20 04:13 PM 16,730
11/10/20 07:24 AM 15,432
11/10/20 10:21 AM 14,746
11/10/20 03:47 PM 14,733
11/11/20 08:43 AM 12,813
11/11/20 11:56 PM 11,635
11/12/20 01:24 PM 11,537
11/12/20 07:14 PM 11,390
11/12/20 10:23 PM 11,034
LisaL
(44,973 posts)In GA, Biden was behind on election day (to the point that not many people believed he can pull it off) but he did phenomenally well with remaining ballots.
AZ is the opposite. Remaining ballots have been eating into Biden's lead.
Towlie
(5,324 posts)Towlie
(5,324 posts)Biden 1,668,684, Trump 1,657,250, 10,315 uncounted votes.
Biden leads by 11,434 votes with 10,315 votes uncounted. Trump needs 105.4% of the uncounted votes to win Arizona.
radius777
(3,635 posts)Wasserman said it was basically over.
Biden's lead has been dwindling due to the late arriving mail ballots and same day votes favoring Trump, but there are not enough votes left (about 16k, mostly from blue or purple areas) for Trump to overtake.
https://arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html
Towlie
(5,324 posts)Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona show as flipped.