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TexasTowelie

(112,162 posts)
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 04:42 AM Nov 2020

Sweden Sees No Signs So Far Herd Immunity Is Stopping Virus

There’s little evidence that herd immunity is helping Sweden combat the coronavirus, according to the country’s top epidemiologist.

“The issue of herd immunity is difficult,” Anders Tegnell said at a briefing in Stockholm on Tuesday. “We see no signs of immunity in the population that are slowing down the infection right now.”

Swedes have been more exposed to the virus than their neighbors elsewhere in the Nordic region, and every third Stockholmer tested has antibodies, according to figures published this week. That’s after the country famously opted against a lockdown, relying instead on voluntary measures.

Tegnell has in the past said that herd immunity is hard to measure and even questioned official figures. Swedish authorities have made clear that immunity isn’t a policy goal, but the nation’s exposure to the virus makes it an obvious test case for observing the theory.

Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-11-24/sweden-says-it-sees-no-signs-herd-immunity-is-stopping-the-virus

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Sweden Sees No Signs So Far Herd Immunity Is Stopping Virus (Original Post) TexasTowelie Nov 2020 OP
We see no signs the infection is slowing down? Aussie105 Nov 2020 #1
Where did you get 95% from? Terry_M Nov 2020 #4
Oh they did a "recalibrate" did they? Hmm they were the rightwing gold standard underpants Nov 2020 #2
I still wonder if this is really a 1 and done virus Buckeyeblue Nov 2020 #3
Herd immunity does not work Gothmog Nov 2020 #5
It does. But with vaccinations. Not with getting people sick. robbedvoter Nov 2020 #6
Because it doesn't stop the virus Renew Deal Nov 2020 #7
Herd Immunity????? ironman99 Nov 2020 #8
So with tRUMP's overwhelming DEFEAT, did his snake oil quack Scott Atlas go into hiding? WyattKansas Nov 2020 #9

Aussie105

(5,395 posts)
1. We see no signs the infection is slowing down?
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 06:07 AM
Nov 2020

No, of course not.

For herd immunity, either through exposure and survival or vaccination, the antibody must be present in at least 95% of the population.
That reduces the transmission rate to below that of a pandemic.

Currently it's at 1 in 3, and that has taken about 1 year.
So give it another 3 years, with three times the infected people and three times the deaths, you may have natural herd immunity.
Are they prepared to do that?

Don't these Swedes know anything?

Fortunately, there will be a vaccine long before that.

Terry_M

(745 posts)
4. Where did you get 95% from?
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 08:16 AM
Nov 2020

Some viruses might need 95%. Common estimates for Covid are 70%. Now even that's finicky - that is if you have 70% immune evenly everywhere you go, if you have it, you spread it to less than 1 person and they spread it to less than 1 person on average. A 70% that isn't even (ie 75% in most places but 50% in anti-vaxx pockets) will mean it will keep flaring up in those anti-vaxx pockets.

underpants

(182,791 posts)
2. Oh they did a "recalibrate" did they? Hmm they were the rightwing gold standard
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 07:58 AM
Nov 2020

of ignoring basically science and casting the elderly off to die. Gee, hadn’t heard much about them until now. Funny that.

Buckeyeblue

(5,499 posts)
3. I still wonder if this is really a 1 and done virus
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 08:04 AM
Nov 2020

Maybe they only see antibodies in 1 in 3 is that the antibodies go away after time. They (we) are chasing an immunity that does exist.

robbedvoter

(28,290 posts)
6. It does. But with vaccinations. Not with getting people sick.
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 08:26 AM
Nov 2020

Sweeds and Agolf got it genocide wrong.

ironman99

(99 posts)
8. Herd Immunity?????
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 11:12 AM
Nov 2020

Every time I hear this moronic term I think back to pre-vaccine Anthrax. Did farmers and ranchers let an infected animal run around with the rest of the herd? NO!!!!!!

It was isolated behind the barn and put down for the good of the rest of the herd.

WyattKansas

(1,648 posts)
9. So with tRUMP's overwhelming DEFEAT, did his snake oil quack Scott Atlas go into hiding?
Wed Nov 25, 2020, 11:33 AM
Nov 2020

I haven't heard him in the news lately, especially after cases began exploding all over the U.S. with his 'herd mentality' nonsense... Did he just disappear under a rock somewhere to hide his ignorance?

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