Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:15 AM
Celerity (29,142 posts)
The 17 Rethugs most likely to convict, and then 5 wild cards
I am NOT saying at all that these 17 will vote to convict, simple that all have at least given some hope, no matter how slight, they might.
I have spent hours over the last week or so looking at statements, articles, prognostications IF the SCOTUS said this WAS Constitutional (the post POTUS trial) then I think we would have the 17 and more, as SO many of the 50 Rethugs are hiding behind the bullshit argument (false) that it's unconstitutional. edited to add
these 17 are my picks REGARDLESS of the constitutional issue excuse, as some posters seem to be focusing in on that alone, and I was not clear enough, apparently Alabama - Richard Shelby Alaska - Lisa Murkowski Alaska - Dan Sullivan Idaho - Mike Crapo Idaho - Jim Risch Indiana - Todd Young Kentucky - Mitch McConnell Louisiana - Bill Cassidy Maine - Susan Collins Nebraska - Deb Fischer Nebraska - Ben Sasse North Carolina - Richard Burr North Carolina - Thom Tillis Ohio - Rob Portman Pennsylvania - Pat Toomey South Dakota - John Thune Utah - Mitt Romney Wild Cards Arkansas - Tom Cotton (IF he is running for POTUS in 2024, he might see this as a way to put the knife in Trump, he is that ruthless) Kansas - Jerry Moran (has been in the group, many of those in the 17 above, who have been hanging around McConnell for days now. Many pundits think Mitch has something up his sleeve) Louisiana - John Kennedy (crazy unpredictable, and he KNOWS better, he is one of the most intelligent Senators despite his fake hick, slack-jaw yokel act) Texas - John Cornyn (just a hunch, and he HATES Cruz personally) West Virginia - Shelley Moore Capito (what bigger wild card than the Rethug from Trump-insane West Virginia, she has 6 years to go before re-election too)
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9 replies, 836 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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Celerity | Feb 2021 | OP |
mia | Feb 2021 | #1 | |
Celerity | Feb 2021 | #2 | |
Turin_C3PO | Feb 2021 | #3 | |
Celerity | Feb 2021 | #4 | |
yellowcanine | Feb 2021 | #5 | |
North Shore Chicago | Feb 2021 | #6 | |
bullwinkle428 | Feb 2021 | #7 | |
TwilightZone | Feb 2021 | #8 | |
colsohlibgal | Feb 2021 | #9 |
Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:45 AM
mia (8,028 posts)
1. Thanks for your research and list of possibilities.
I was wondering about the same thing.
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Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:17 AM
Turin_C3PO (8,332 posts)
3. Thanks for the breakdown!
If I had to guess the odds of conviction, I’d say there’s probably a 20% chance.
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Response to Turin_C3PO (Reply #3)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:20 AM
Celerity (29,142 posts)
4. I agree, I would say 20 to 25% max atm, with McTreason McTurtle being the only real force to
make it happen.
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Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:22 AM
yellowcanine (35,045 posts)
5. But Susan Collins probably thinks NOW he has "learned his lesson."
So I would not count on her.
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Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:26 AM
North Shore Chicago (2,684 posts)
6. This is a thoughtful post, thank you!
This scenario is glass half full, even if this so-called trial should be a no-brainer. Imagine if one of us were chosen for jury duty and during the trial, we put our feet up, read books etc..... we would be held in contempt!
Cocky little bastids. |
Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:27 AM
bullwinkle428 (20,324 posts)
7. If it wasn't the "Constitutionality" excuse, they would find some other
kind of excuse to let him off. Like the color of the tie he was wearing that day, or some other such nonsense.
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Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:30 AM
TwilightZone (21,191 posts)
8. Constitutionality is just an excuse.
If the SC declared it constitutional, they'd just use another excuse.
We should really stop taking their arguments at face value. They're not telling the truth any more than Trump does. |
Response to Celerity (Original post)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:51 AM
colsohlibgal (5,185 posts)
9. So Hope It Happens
It is a long shot but you never know. What I most care about is banning Chitolini from running again, it’s a shame he has to be convicted first.
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