New York's Mayoral Race: Where It Stands

[brooklynite]

City Journal

New York City’s mayoral contest is currently a tight race between Eric Adams and Andrew Yang, with Adams narrowly winning on the final ranked-choice ballot, according to a mid-May poll of likely Democratic primary voters conducted for the Manhattan Institute.*

The survey shows a fluid race, with Yang edging Adams by a single point (19 percent to 18 percent) when primary voters are asked to rank their first choice. Kathryn Garcia, the city’s former sanitation commissioner, runs third, with the backing of 11 percent of likely voters, just ahead of Maya Wiley at 10 percent. Garcia, fresh off her New York Times endorsement, outpaces the rest of the field as the candidate likely voters have become most interested in learning about over the past few weeks.

Behind these four, at 8 percent, sits Scott Stringer, the city’s comptroller, who has recently come under fire from sexual-misconduct allegations. Businessman Ray McGuire is tied with nonprofit executive Dianne Morales at 6 percent, while Shaun Donovan, the former Obama cabinet secretary, lags at 4 percent. Uniquely, this poll tested all 13 Democratic candidates, including Paperboy Love Prince and Isaac Wright, who both polled around 1 percent each. In all, 14 percent of likely Democratic primary voters remain undecided on the top pick for mayor.

The Manhattan Institute’s analysis of the candidate rankings in this poll finds that, after ten rounds of a recalculated ballot under the ranked-choice system, Adams, the Brooklyn borough president, places first, followed by Yang and Wiley. The eleventh and final round confirms Adams ahead of Yang, 52 percent to 48 percent.

[msongs]

1. aka a tossup nt

[brooklynite]

2. Yes, but...

a tossup of what was a clear lead for Yang a few weeks ago.