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Michigan & the county I live in just went from Very High Risk to Medium Risk of Covid. (Original Post) catbyte Jun 2021 OP
Great. Wish I could say the same for our GA county, @20% vaccinated. Hortensis Jun 2021 #1
Washington State's rate of Covid among Unvaccinated is as high as it was in January. Ninga Jun 2021 #2
Depends on who you're talking to frazzled Jun 2021 #3
Those trendlines for your county all look good! Pobeka Jun 2021 #4
It's a good sign, but daily fluctuations aren't meaningful FakeNoose Jun 2021 #5

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
1. Great. Wish I could say the same for our GA county, @20% vaccinated.
Tue Jun 1, 2021, 08:34 AM
Jun 2021


We saw a friend the other day who's passing on vaccination because of very serious complications with medications in general, not unreasonable, but who also wants to believe it's fast becoming unnecessary Told her the falling rates of infection among vaccinated people elsewhere won't make her safer here, only staying away from the large majority who'll continue to spread it. She was unhappy but too smart not to understand.

Ninga

(8,277 posts)
2. Washington State's rate of Covid among Unvaccinated is as high as it was in January.
Tue Jun 1, 2021, 08:46 AM
Jun 2021

This article explains how an overall smaller number of cases does not mean things are going well, because new cases are measured by the number of people not vaccinated (not the entire population of the state.) I believe somewhere in the article Michigan is talked about.

“These adjusted numbers paint a far less optimistic picture: Washington’s case rate among unvaccinated people is as high as it was in late January, near the peak of Covid infections.”

Here is more from the article

“But adjustments for vaccinations show the rate among susceptible, unvaccinated people is 73 percent higher than the standard figures being publicized. With that adjustment, the national death rate is roughly the same as it was two months ago and is barely inching down. The adjusted hospitalization rate is as high as it was three months ago. The case rate is still declining after the adjustment.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/interactive/2021/covid-rates-unvaccinated-people/?itid=hp_pandemic%20test

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
3. Depends on who you're talking to
Tue Jun 1, 2021, 08:53 AM
Jun 2021

My county (Cook, IL) also shows “medium” on this site’s scale. On the New York Times tracker, it’s “high.”

Remember, these are just words. But if you’re vaccinated, your risk is probably low.

Pobeka

(4,999 posts)
4. Those trendlines for your county all look good!
Tue Jun 1, 2021, 09:07 AM
Jun 2021

As other mentioned, the virus is still likely as high a rate for the unvaccinated as it was earlier this spring.

In my county (Pierce, in WA), that is almost certainly the case. Hospitals are still at critical capacities, infection rates flat to rising overall... I suspect we have a variant here, but there is no information as of yet, the USA is basically doing almost no sequencing of the infected folks to see if a variant has struck or it's an older, less infectious strain.

FakeNoose

(32,756 posts)
5. It's a good sign, but daily fluctuations aren't meaningful
Tue Jun 1, 2021, 09:17 AM
Jun 2021

There should be a trend over a few weeks, before you can take it as a sign that things are getting better. I remember myself doing the same thing you're doing, looking at the daily reports, and wondering "Dare I believe things are getting better now?" The daily numbers will inevitably jump from good to bad and back with seemingly no reason for the fluctuation.

This time last year, we went to green in my county (Allegheny County, PA). However it didn't stay that way for long, in a few months it was back to yellow and then red for a while. I'm hoping your experience is a general trend for the green, and stays that way. Vaccinations are making the difference.

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