General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDelta variant 60% more transmissible, reduces vaccine effect, UK experts say
The rapid surge in cases during Delhis fourth Covid-19 wave was mainly driven by the Delta variant, which likely has immune-evasion properties and accounted for 60 per cent of the cases in April, according to a new study.
The Delta variant, B.1.617.2, is 50 per cent more transmissible than the Alpha variant, B1.117, first discovered in the UK, say researchers from the National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) and the CSIR Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology (IGIB).
Prior infections, high seropositivity and partial vaccination are insufficient impediments to the spread of the Delta variant, found the scientists. They traced the factors contributing to the scale and speed of the fourth wave that started in April in Delhi and compared them to the preceding three waves last year.
We find that this surge of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Delhi is best explained by the introduction of a new highly transmissible variant of concern (VOC), B.1.617.2, with likely immune-evasion properties," the researchers noted.
The variant may have led to insufficient neutralising immunity in people, despite high seropositivity, and social behaviour may have augmented the surge by promoting transmission, they added.
https://www.indiatoday.in/coronavirus-outbreak/story/delta-variant-transmissible-vaccine-effect-uk-experts-1813762-2021-06-11
wnylib
(21,447 posts)The Delta variant accounts for 6% of infections in the US.
We have more vaccinated people than India or the UK, but since breakthrough infections are higher with Delta than with other variants, and Delta is more easily transmitted, that US rate could increase.
NH Ethylene
(30,811 posts)But we don't know because the US is not doing a lot of testing for variants.
wnylib
(21,447 posts)Duncanpup
(12,841 posts)pazzyanne
(6,551 posts)wnylib
(21,447 posts)both cloth and surgical masks. I am also fully vaccinated and I also still wear mine.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Many "mask variants" to suit my mood and the threat level.
I'm fully vaccinated, but the mask is NOT coming off anytime soon.
womanofthehills
(8,703 posts)NH Ethylene
(30,811 posts)I wish they would increase the sampling to get a better idea of what is happening.
speak easy
(9,245 posts)As it is crowding out the older UK variant, the same can be expected in the States.
wnylib
(21,447 posts)places opening up and people not masking up any more. Wherever I go I am definitely in the minority of mask wearers. Sometimes the only one wearing a mask.
speak easy
(9,245 posts)More than half the jabs in the UK are the AstraZeneca vaccine, which provides poor protection against the Delta variant until the second shot, which the UK delays for 12 weeks. Pfizer and Moderna are showing more than 85% efficacy over there.
But ... our stupid anti-vaxxers may be hit hard. The Delta strain won't stay at 6% for long.
wnylib
(21,447 posts)due to age and health issues, I'm being cautious.
ProfessorGAC
(65,010 posts)The distribution of the various vaccines is wildly different between the UK & US.
In the US, the CDC reported that 293 million out of 305 million vaccine doses in the U.S. were Pfizer or Moderna. About 96%.
By contrast, about 20% of vaccines in the UK were from those two sources. The rest were Oxford (dominant) and Jansen/J&J.
It's risky to try to compare outcomes around the delta variant between the 2 countries.
Until we know that the 20% in the UK had the same breakthrough rate as the other 80%, extrapolation is not valid.
ananda
(28,858 posts)in the next week or two.
I don't think we'll have a booster by then.
wnylib
(21,447 posts)Last edited Mon Jun 14, 2021, 06:32 PM - Edit history (2)
remember where you read it? That sounds fast, even for this variant.
ON EDIT: I just found a Yahoo News article that says the Delta variant in the US is at 10% of all new infections now, and is doubling every 2 weeks. Could not cut and paste a link. It estimated that a surge of infections due to Delta is expected by late summer or early fall. The most vulnerable area is the southeast where vaccination rates are far below average in Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, and Louisiana. A surge would affect even vaccinated people by tying up hospitals and staff.
ananda
(28,858 posts)It was posted here a couple of days ago.
rockfordfile
(8,702 posts)The mutations are coming out of that country.
NH Ethylene
(30,811 posts)It's in much of the world now.
ecstatic
(32,701 posts)I was already under the impression that covid-19 was highly transmissible. Practically airborne. How do you get 60% more transmissible than that?? Or are they saying that masks won't even protect you at that point?
NH Ethylene
(30,811 posts)If it took fewer viral particles to cause an infection, the amount of exposure needed would be less.