Post BREXIT support for Scottish Independence drops

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[DFW]

1. Not surprising

The more the EU shows what an inefficient, weak and cumbersome bureaucracy it is, and resists reform, the more the Brexiteers can claim they were right, and the less there will be support for Scottish independence, which only makes sense if they join the EU.

[dsc]

2. at the end of the day though

they have a national government that despises them and all they stand for, and with vastly less power than states have here. Given that they own the oil they could easily manage on their own and be a petro state.

[DFW]

3. I wouldn't want to go it alone any more as a small state with their kind of geography.

Norway has a more favorable situation with its long border with Sweden and its sea proximity to Denmark and Germany. Plus, it was never part of the EU, so the huge reserve of oil wealth they have stacked up over the decades is theirs and theirs alone. Scotland not only doesn't have that, but would have to negotiate an ownership settlement with England. They would have to start from scratch, which means a huge economic disadvantage. I'm sure their economists are churning out study after study to present to any potential independent Scottish government, and that they are taking a hard, pragmatic view of where a sudden independence would leave them. Even with the North Sea oil, it's not a position I would want to be in--nor, given the obvious arguments still favoring independence--one I would want to have choose sides on. I wouldn't want to have to choose between Boris Johnson, Brussels, or none of the above.

Maybe they could unite with Ireland and become the Republic of Celtia, or something.