She says 1 in 8 chance of getting Covid - true (though that is over the 18 months since the pandemic start)
She says 1 in 61 chance of dying from Covid - for those who have caught Covid
Then she uses the number of Covid cases among the fully vaxed - 12,098 out of 173 million, or 1 in 13,402 (though that's over a shorter time period - between 8 months and very recent, depending on the person)
Then she says there have been about 2,000 deaths from Covid among the fully vaxed, and says that's 1 in 86,500 of all the fully vaxed.
But, she ends up comparing the 1 in 61 to the 1 in 86,500. That's wrong; she should compare 1 in 61 times 8 (from the 1 in 8), or 1 in 488, to 1 in 86,500. And that's not looking at the difference in time period.
So, no, she's not really good with numbers. A much better job was done by the professionals, as linked to here: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100215849749
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/articles/deathsinvolvingcovid19byvaccinationstatusengland/deathsoccurringbetween2januaryand2july2021
They gave:
Deaths from non-covid causes for the fully vaxxed over the period in which they could have been fully vaxxed
Deaths from covid for the fully vaxxed over the period in which they could have been fully vaxxed
Deaths from non-covid causes for the unvaxxed over the same period
Deaths from covid for the unvaxxed over the same period
That means they're comparing the same numbers of people for covid and non-covid deaths, so that allows a fair comparison. It comes out as 0.8% covid deaths for fully vaxxed to 37.4% covid deaths unvaxxed. This is still obviously evidence the vaccine is brilliant at preventing death, but it's accurate. Her numbers aren't.
On edit: those numbers are for the UK, and don't distinguish Delta variant from others. Here's a recent analysis of US numbers for Delta:
Covid-19: Unvaccinated face 11 times risk of death from delta variant, CDC data show
Unvaccinated Americans have died at 11 times the rate of those fully vaccinated since the delta variant became the dominant strain, indicate surveillance data gathered over the summer by the US Centers for Disease Control.
Vaccinated people were 10 times less likely to be admitted to hospital and five times less likely to be infected than unvaccinated people, found one study that tracked adults across 13 states and cities.1
Levels of protection were lower than were conferred by vaccines offered at the end of spring, the study found. Vaccine efficacy has declined since the delta variant became dominant around 20 June. The decline in efficacy against hospital admission or death was small, but the protection offered against infection has slipped more significantly.
From 4 April to 20 June unvaccinated people died from covid-19 at 16.6 times the rate among the fully vaccinated (95% confidence interval 13.5 to 20.4). Between 20 June and 17 July that rate fell to 11.3 (9.1 to 13.9). Before 20 June admissions of unvaccinated people with covid-19 to hospital were running at 13.3 (11.3 to 15.6) times the rate among the vaccinated, but this had fallen to 10.4 (8.1 to 13.3) after that date.
Unvaccinated people were infected at 11.1 (7.8 to 15.8) times the rate of the vaccinated before 20 June but at only 4.6 (2.5 to 8.5) times the rate thereafter.
These figures represent declines in crude efficacy, for all vaccine types combined, from 94% to 91% for death, 92% to 90% for hospital admissions, and 91% to 78% for infection.
https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n2282
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