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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsClaustrum
(4,846 posts)does he have a real chance when it's supposed to be a bad year for democrats?
Bleacher Creature
(11,257 posts)Claustrum
(4,846 posts)If more of Brooklyn is taken into the district, maybe it would be more favorable for him. Anyhow, I wish him luck since I voted for him twice and will vote for any democrat on the ticket.
I would love to have the same surprise I had in 2018 when I found out he was leading before the media was announcing his lead/win.
brooklynite
(94,727 posts)The question is: does it go north (Hispanic/Chinese) or east (Italian)?
brooklynite
(94,727 posts)We won the White House because people voted against Trump, and we won the Senate largely because Trump depressed turnout in the Georgia runoffs. But we did poorly down-ticket, especially in the House.
Beastly Boy
(9,423 posts)when pundits predicted a bad year for Dems.
If he runs, he has a chance. If he doesn't, he has none.
Claustrum
(4,846 posts)We didn't have the presidency, the house, or the senate and there was a huge backlash and shock with Trump's win. How was that a bad year for dem?
Beastly Boy
(9,423 posts)Polybius
(15,476 posts)Noble, but not smart if you want to win in SI.
Claustrum
(4,846 posts)The fact he marched in a BLM protest is never going away. Good thing though as someone pointed out that redistricting is drawing more of Brooklyn into district 11 so it might help him just enough to win.
karynnj
(59,504 posts)That could suggest that Trump himself ran behind generic Republican.
What could that mean for 2022?
The first question may be what happened to get this mixed result in 2020. It might mean that where Biden, a well known Democratic figure won, the Republicans used various scare factors (defund the police etc) to get some people in purple areas to vote for Republicans. The goal might have been - remove Trump, but tie the hands of Biden through a Republican Congress.
To change this in 2022, the question might be whether people fear the Democrats having the same power they have now. The reality of the Biden years, where he sought transformative infrastructure and social programs -- but nothing that negatively impacted the police etc might make the 2020 "bogeyman" less scary.
2022 might look very different in 6 months. Covid may look less ominous after a winter peak. The economy is doing well and the inflation issue is somewhat bogus as part of it is because of the severe constraint on supply as demand from a growing economy increases. Economists have always said that the best stimulus is one that gives most money to the bottom - not the top 1%, because they reliably spend the money! By next year, the international supply chain problems will very likely be better.
One thing that could very well be a problem for Republicans is that almost no matter what the SC does on Roe vs Wade, there will be a call to codify a national policy in law. There are people (Klobachar) already speaking of that. This might move more purple areas to want Democrats. (It might be that the evangelicals in favor of a complete ban are already in totally red areas.)
wellst0nev0ter
(7,509 posts)W_HAMILTON
(7,873 posts)Or did he still not learn his lesson from his last electoral loss?