General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsStatistics 101 - The larger a sample size, the more legitimacy your data has
Having a poll or survey that asks a question to 14 people has less credibility than a poll or survey that asks that question to 100 people and that in turn has less credibility than a poll or survey that asks that same question to 10,000 people.
Just a little something to remember... legitimacy, credibility... when Republicans want a "red wave" this year and in 2024 when everyone is not able to vote. Do we have an appropriate sample size?
hlthe2b
(102,509 posts)of the study--i.e., the ability of the study to identify statistically-significant differences and correlations where they exist. However., a non-random sample--one which introduces sampling bias--is not more valid no matter the size.
Xipe Totec
(43,892 posts)multigraincracker
(32,751 posts)I was told if you have one antidote, you have data.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)Statistics 102 - Statistics is complex. Sampling, inferential statistics, always has error compared to descriptive statistics, polling everyone instead of sampling. So, given sampling, you don't know if what you said is true or not, just that is is statistically more probable, in other words using "credibility" is correct and certainty would not be.
In political polling, objectivity, independence, lack of bias, and ability to correctly sample are huge factors, and there are a lot of bad actors producing skewed polling to sway public opinion by purposefully designing polls to reflect desired results, a very easy thing to do. That, and bad actors such as #FailedCoupGuy (double entendre intended) just pay people to lie about polls.
pwb
(11,308 posts)and I put in some effort. Your right, ask 3 people how they like Joe and if 2 don't like him = 33& approval rating. Ask 100 people and he might be 60% approval. I am not seeing a red wave again ever. The Blue builds.