NV: Democrats extend lead in Clark to 36,000 voters
he Democrats extended their lead in Clark County to about 36,000 voters over the Republicans with another solid day and another day where 30,000-plus voters turned out. It now seems reasonable to assume the lead will be 40,000 or so after one week.
With a week to go, that would put the Democrats about halfway to the lead they had in 2008 -- 83,000. I don't think they will get there, but they don't have to. Obama won the state by 12 points (Clark by 19) with that lead. All he needs to do is be in double digits in Clark, and he will win Nevada unless there is a landslide in Washoe, which does not appear to be happening (there were no numbers posted for Washoe as I write this).....
So that would mean 61,636 votes left to divide between Obama and Romney. Say Romney is winning that pool by 10 percentage points. That means he gets 33,900 votes and Obama gets 27,736.
Bottom line: Obama would still be ahead now by 24,000 votes in Clark County. If he stays close in Washoe and that lead keeps building down here, the rural onslaught will not save Romney.
http://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/democrats-extend-lead-clark-36000-voters#.UIq7EH1pG_4
