Youth turnout could save, or sink, Democrats in 2022

[brooklynite]

CNN

(CNN)Soaring turnout and big margins among young voters were central to the Democratic victories in the 2018 congressional and 2020 presidential elections. But with many young people expressing disenchantment with President Joe Biden's performance, preserving those advantages looms as one of the biggest challenges facing Democrats in the 2022 midterms.

There's widespread concern among Democrats that turnout for young people this November could fall back from its gains in 2018 toward the meager levels that contributed to the party's crushing losses in the 2014 and 2010 midterm elections.

"If you accept the status quo with young people, it's not going to go great," says Democratic pollster Ben Tulchin. "Turnout is not going to be good."

Most Republicans are expecting exactly that sort of decline, driven both by waning enthusiasm for Biden and diminishing concern about Donald Trump, whose visibility has dimmed since he left the White House.

[multigraincracker]

1. Trump Putin ties may keep blue collar

and suburban voters home enough to make up for it. It may boil down to Independents and they may be the most upset with Russia. Lots of stuff going on between now and then.