Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:07 PM

Predictions, anyone? First thoughts on Tues PM, EST.. Timings!

7 PM - VT poll closes - Obama 3

7:30 - OH and NC close, too close to call

8 PM - CT, DE, IL, ME, MD, MA, NJ, RI, DC for Obama, taking him to 79

FL, MO, NH, PA will be too close to call at 8

9 PM - NY takes Obama to 108

Between 9-10 PA goes to Obama taking him to 128

CO, MI, MN, NM, WI too close to call

10 PM - IA and NV too close to call

between 10-11, Obama picks up OH, MI, MN, NM and WI - takes Obama to 187

11 PM - CA, HI, OR, WA to Obama, taking him to 265

between 11-12, NV to Obama - puts him at 271 - then come VA, NC, FL, NH, IA, and CO - final total 347 EVs.

Let's say that the election is called at 11:15.....

Optimistic? that's my current guess - you have it here!

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13 replies	Author	Time	Post
Predictions, anyone? First thoughts on Tues PM, EST.. Timings! (Original post)	NRaleighLiberal	Nov 2012	OP
I think it's like 2008 in that....	dhill926	Nov 2012	#1
This will be a somewhat longer night than last time. I think he wins by 1 in the morning.	hrmjustin	Nov 2012	#2
kicking - anyone else? My estimate is that the race is called by 11:15 EST.	NRaleighLiberal	Nov 2012	#3
K&R !!!	orpupilofnature57	Nov 2012	#4
Thanks for this handy timeline/prediction.	cali	Nov 2012	#5
Tuesday - 11:15pm EST - Republican's heads explode	Cyrano	Nov 2012	#6
LOL. Love that idea.	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#11
At around 8pm PST TV Pundits wil start moving on to ernestly discussing the 2016 race.	mulsh	Nov 2012	#7
If OH is close, because of absentee/provisional ballots there, we might have to wait much	LisaL	Nov 2012	#8
Obama-Biden	Dyedinthewoolliberal	Nov 2012	#9
I like your 11:15 EST estimate.	MineralMan	Nov 2012	#10
Yup, if OH gets called for Obama then I think it's lights out for Rmoney...	truebrit71	Nov 2012	#12
I hope you are right.	Kalidurga	Nov 2012	#13

Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:09 PM

dhill926 (14,366 posts)

1. I think it's like 2008 in that....

Virginia will be the key. We get that, we win big. If not, we just win.....

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:11 PM

hrmjustin (71,265 posts)

2. This will be a somewhat longer night than last time. I think he wins by 1 in the morning.

Wi or Oh will put him over the top. But if you are right than he is winning bigger than expected.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:13 AM

NRaleighLiberal (56,599 posts)

3. kicking - anyone else? My estimate is that the race is called by 11:15 EST.

347 EVs

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #3)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:46 AM

orpupilofnature57 (15,472 posts)

4. K&R !!!

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:52 AM

cali (114,904 posts)

5. Thanks for this handy timeline/prediction.

Very helpful for Tuesday night. I'm bookmarking it.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:56 AM

Cyrano (13,662 posts)

6. Tuesday - 11:15pm EST - Republican's heads explode

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Response to Cyrano (Reply #6)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:50 AM

mnhtnbb (29,598 posts)

11. LOL. Love that idea.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:59 AM

mulsh (2,959 posts)

7. At around 8pm PST TV Pundits wil start moving on to ernestly discussing the 2016 race.

I'm fairly sure even the crew on MSNBC election night broadcast will be doing this. Hillary and Jeb will get lots of mentions. They've got to grease the massive advertizing revenue skids.

I think you time line is about right in calling the 2012 election results.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:01 AM

LisaL (44,220 posts)

8. If OH is close, because of absentee/provisional ballots there, we might have to wait much

longer than that.
Could be weeks.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:02 AM

Dyedinthewoolliberal (13,907 posts)

9. Obama-Biden

in a LANDSLIDE!

I hope....................

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:02 AM

MineralMan (144,046 posts)

10. I like your 11:15 EST estimate.

I'm in the Central time zone, and I'd like to shut off the TV and get some sleep around 10 PM.

Actually, if Obama wins Ohio, which I'm sure he will, and that gets called, I'll probably turn in then.

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Response to MineralMan (Reply #10)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:52 AM

truebrit71 (20,805 posts)

12. Yup, if OH gets called for Obama then I think it's lights out for Rmoney...

...the only question left after that will be just how bad of an ass kicking will the Greed/Lying ticket get...

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:49 PM

Kalidurga (14,177 posts)

13. I hope you are right.

I think Obama will get at least 312 ev

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