TS Ian as it approaches the Northern Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico

[malaise]

The good news - this one is moving fast now 16mph. Cayman, North Western Cuba, the Florida Keys and Florida will get the worst of this. If you're in the Keys, looks like you'll face the Cat 3. If the experts are correct this will make landfall on the West Coast of Florida as a Cat 2

[tavernier]

1. Good looking out, homie!

[jimfields33]

9. It looks like it changed already

This morning it was saying 8 o’clock Wednesday hitting Tampa. Looks like it moved north in predicting the path.

[Justice matters.]

2. Tell desatanus no Federal money if one more kidnapping. eom

[malaise]

3. This

[Justice matters.]

5. And investigate him on the previous crimes.

[onenote]

7. And punishing the nearly half of Floridians who vote for Democrats will help how?

[Tommy Carcetti]

33. That would be monumentally foolish. nt

[malaise]

4. Havana can't handle a Cat 3

Damn that water is hot

[mcar]

6. Oh goodie, it's heading right for me

West Central Florida.

[MOMFUDSKI]

8. Me, too. Pinellas County 3 blocks from the Gulf SO

made reservations in Lakeland for tues/wed and hoping we have a house to come back to. Good thing is the people here are very calm and cool. You just don't see the nuttiness that you do back home in Milwaukee. They would all have their hair on fire by now. I am thankful for the attitude here. Good luck, MCAR.

[mcar]

10. You too Mom

[mitch96]

27. I'm in Pinellas also and I'm gonna stick this one out. I have friends on the other coast

I can stay with if the juice is out for too long. If you don't get hit too bad it's the lack of A/C that gets you. I got gas today at a local place that has inexpensive fuel (3.05.9) and the lines were kinda nuts. Publix and walmart were already starting to get picked clean of water and canned goods.. Stay safe..
m

[malaise]

19. Looking like it's heading for DeathSentence

in the panhandle - could be a Cat 4 - looking now like more West.

[Phoenix61]

20. He's not in the panhandle... but I am. ☹️

[malaise]

22. Oops

I don’t wish storms on politicians because other people live in their neighborhoods.
Still I’m glad this is missing South Florida. If this drifts further west, it could be problems for Alabama and even Louisiana

[Phoenix61]

23. Another bad storm here and I'm moving.

We haven’t put everything back together from Michael. The only good thing is there’s 80% fewer trees to fall on anything.

[malaise]

24. Michael was horrific for all of you

We escaped again

[mcar]

25. Yep, leaning more west now

That's been the pattern in the 30 years I've lived here. Blessing on those in the panhandle.

[ornotna]

11. Shifted further west

At least it’s not aimed directly at me now. Stay safe everyone.

[malaise]

12. Yep our TS watch has been cancelled

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/242056.shtml?

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Jamaica has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Jamaica.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Grand Cayman

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Little Cayman and Cayman Brac

[W_HAMILTON]

14. Seems strange that they expect it to decrease in strength...

...before it hits Florida. Are the waters already "cold" up that way or something?

[tavernier]

15. It decreases somewhat when it goes over Cuba

But at this point it almost looks like it might be west of the island.

[W_HAMILTON]

16. Judging by the M to H (decrease in strength)...

...it is still projected to be a major hurricane when it is out in the Gulf and past all of the major land masses (including Cuba), but it decreases in strength (for some reason) just before it is projected to hit Florida. You don't usually see that happen all too often. Usually a hurricane being in open water like that is prime real estate for it to strengthen, unless the water is cooler or something like that.

[maxrandb]

17. Decrease in strength before it hits Florida is due to Sharpie nt

[malaise]

18. Also looking more like Panhandle now

That’s good news for South Florida

[Phoenix61]

21. Wind shear causes that. It's the same front that is

making it curve so much.

[mitch96]

29. Are they're mountains in the west of Cuba to bust it up a bit? I usually don't look where it's gonna

hit till it's two days out. Charlie (2004) was gonna hit Tampa but hit Ft Myers. Andrew (1992) was aiming for Hollyweird but moved toward Miami before hitting Homestead.
The weather gods are a fickle lot...
m

[marmar]

26. Glad you're missing most of it in Jamrock.

[malaise]

31. Rain all night and plenty more to come

The reservoirs will be full. Expect mudslides and bridge collapses.
On the other hand, it‘s delightfully cool.

[malaise]

32. Fine thanks- we're the lucky ones

[A HERETIC I AM]

28. You OK down there? (Yeah, I guess you are!)

Stay safe anyway!

[Hermit-The-Prog]

30. Can't we just nuke it? Many people are saying we can just nuke it.