Folks along the west coast of FL dont let your guard down
The models are doing the windshield wiper and are now shifting farther east with Ian. Like I posted before they have struggled all summer with these strong troughs moving through the central CONUS. We are getting close to 120 hours out and the accuracy will increase as time decreases. I can't emphasize enough a Cat 4/5 coming in at this angle, if that occurs, could be Michael hitting 1000 times the amount of people that storm affected. Charley took a hard right, its not the same as a strengthening system moving water NNE for days into a catchers mit with nowhere to go. The model trends have shifted back east tonight and thats reflected in the new NHC cone.
The NHC is what should be followed but I will say from experience tracking storms anything that is stacked and already a hurricane has the potential to bomb like crazy around the western tip of Cuba. Those who remember Wilma, this is where she blossomed.
Just please take this thing super seriously. A Cat 5 storm in the early 1900's put almost all of Pinellas county under water.
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