FYI, 2022 Voter Registration numbers of the adult electorate (minus undocumenteds and minors)

[ancianita]

Last edited Tue Oct 11, 2022, 09:08 PM - Edit history (3)

are at 213,768,003 potential voters who are actually registered.

As of Nov 3 2020, there were 213,799,467 registered to vote. Can't explain the drop, but both figures are from the same site.

Total registered voters WHO VOTED BUT DID NOT VOTE TRUMP (D + 3rd party) = 84,174,344
Total registereds WHO DID NOT VOTE IN 2020 = 55,402,093

Total adult electorate WHO COULD HAVE REGISTERED, AND SO DID NOT VOTE IN 2020 = 87,605,395 = 35.6% of the 2020 adult population of the U.S.

Voter registration deadlines are any day now (Florida's is today).

Here is a good link for the 50 state counts of total registrations.
To use it, scroll down to the 3rd graphic of state-by-state numbers.
To get state party registration numbers, click the 4th graphic to get different states' source report of registrations by party.

Surprisingly, I've learned that Florida lets people register as "unaffiliated."



https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/number-of-registered-voters-by-state

[scarletlib]

1. Lots of Covid deaths for one.

[ancianita]

3. Could be. A logical outcome, maybe.

As of today our total population is 338,370,395 (from the same site). In 2020 it was 330,000,000 per Census.

With minors still at 74,200,000 per the Census, and undocumenteds now at 11,000,000 (Migration Policy Institute), that gives us an electorate size of 253,170,395.

So our registered electorate is 84.4% of the adult population.

[Wicked Blue]

2. Florida should add another category

unhinged

[ancianita]

4. That probably falls under the "Unaffiliated" category.

[JustAnotherGen]

5. Removing people

From the rolls.

Check your voter registration folks!

[Silent3]

6. That's about a 0.015% change

Since 2020 was a presidential election year, and 2022 isn't, I think this is a damned good sign that voter participation is going to be high, and high turnout favors Democrats.

[ancianita]

7. Thank you for that number.

Corporate media empower the Right's drive to power, but if the polls are even close, you might have something there about a third blue wave.

I hope that congressional Democrats and the Biden administration have proven to independents women and youth that their midterm surprise votes can be as much in reaction to the good done this time, as to the disaster they reacted to in 2018.

[Genki Hikari]

8. If it were millions fewer, I'd be worried. But not 31K.

The difference is a mere 31,464 fewer voters registered. I'm surprised it's not more, between COVID death rates and Boomers entering end of life years.

Like everything else with Boomers, life event rates relative to the general population will look out of whack for a while.

So even if some places with younger populations (cities, suburbs) are getting a huge boost in registration numbers, Boomer death rates (and removal from voter rolls) can still outstrip the overall numbers of new registrations sometimes.

It will probably be that way for at least the next decade or two.

[ancianita]

10. I hear you. But that's an overall national number, right? It's state differences in registration

that make the difference in statehouses and gerrymandered districts. One can hope turnout in this midterm would be correlated with higher than usual new registration numbers. And that millions of former non-voting registrants will turn out.

For instance, Florida's Repub registration = 5,233,366
Florida's Democratic registration = 4,963,722

So Repubs outnumber Dems by 269,644

Florida's 3rd Party registration = 258,804
Florida's Unaffiliated = 3,939,389

Four million unaffiliated?? And some here call FL districts "unwinnable"?

[summer_in_TX]

9. Great numbers for a mid-term election year - especially since there's almost

a month to go until Election Day. Plenty of time to register 31K more.


But Texas's deadline was today. After the ones registered today are processed, I'm eager to learn the numbers. Gender too if I can find it.

Texans don't register to vote by party. So we won't have that data.

[ancianita]

11. Here's the site page for TX.

https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/march2022.shtml

Sorry for my ignorance, but I've no idea what "Suspense" and "Non-suspense" categories mean, or how the non-suspense might affect voting numbers.

It also seems notable for the second largest state in the country to have only a 53% registration for 16 million people.

[summer_in_TX]

12. Suspense would be voters who may have had an official mailing go back to the

elections office. Voter info is not allowed to be forwarded. They are segregated and may have to vote a provisional ballot or have extra proof they need to provide before being allowed to vote.

Another example might be those with P.O. boxes being sent an additional form to prove they live there and must be returned to the Elections Office. Designed to eliminate registrations from those living in apartment complexes, like students or others. They may not check that mail regularly since much of it is bulk mail. (Can't remember if that new provision in the law got struck down or not.)

Non-suspense means all the voters clear to vote without extra hoops.

Thank you for the link! I see it is from the primary election back in March. So hopefully we have many more Texans registered now.

[ancianita]

13. Ah. Thank you! It's a weird label I've never heard of, but well, it's Texas.

Yes. The overall link lets you scroll down to the source of each state's numbers.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/number-of-registered-voters-by-state

[summer_in_TX]

14. Great, that helps!

Just wish Texas posted more updates.

They don't want folks to know, it looks like.

[ancianita]

15. ...

Probably later in the month. Probably not; red states don't like to reveal facts and data, imo.

[summer_in_TX]

16. Ah yes, yesterday was the deadline for voter registration for the Nov. 8 election.

I bet we do get some numbers soon.

[ancianita]

17. Now you've got an updating link to check.

[summer_in_TX]

18. Thanks a bunch!

Appreciate it!