Morning Consult Poll October 21-23

[lees1975]

7,800 likely voters

48% Democrat, 45% Republican.

Note how many voters in this poll compared to the ones who show Republicans ahead by slight percentages.

[Johnny2X2X]

1. Good to see

Now watch the media completely ignore this poll.

[lees1975]

2. In favor of one with 700 adults instead of 7000 likely voters

[Sympthsical]

3. MC uses paid online surveys

That's why you see that number of responses. They're not very good. Always heavily tilted towards Democrats. (see their 2020 polls and note the actual results).

I wouldn't hang my hat on it.

[W_HAMILTON]

5. They're rated B on 538.

And their polls correctly predicted the eventual outcome 83% of the time, including Biden winning Arizona and Georgia.

[Sympthsical]

6. Look at the 2020 results on 538

Particularly the last week in October polls.

They're off by a lot, and almost always in our direction.

Weird to look at the 538 rating and not look at their actual polls on that same page. Is there a point to being that misleadingly selective about something?

[W_HAMILTON]

7. I did. That's where I got my information from.

They made some wrong calls (FL, etc.) and also plenty of right calls, including some very questionable ones at the time (AZ and GA, as I pointed out). As I said, they were right 83% of the time.

The only one being misleadingly selective here is you. Project much?

[Sympthsical]

8. It's not even worth arguing

Attachment to wishcasting isn't something that can be debated.

Sometimes, you just have to feel the fantasy.

[Celerity]

9. 'wishcasting'

good one

[W_HAMILTON]

10. I'm sorry I rebutted yet another of your attempts to depress Democrats.

But you should be happy that a reputable pollster with an 83% rate of calling races correctly showed some positive signs for Democrats in its latest poll, right fellow Democrat who wants Democrats to win and will vote for Democrats in the upcoming election?

[Sympthsical]

11. I already voted

This is all academic for me. I like knowing what's actually going on rather than what I hope is going on. True things are better than wished for things.

If you can look at the list of MC October 2020 polls, see all the margins and how they're all heavily tilted Democratic to significant degrees vs. the actual results (with the exception of CO), and say, "I don't see the problem," that's just a choice you're making.

DU is a tiny corner of the internet. Nothing we post here makes one spec of difference. If I cared about altering election results, I'd be on Reddit, Facebook, or Twitter.

[W_HAMILTON]

12. "No single rain drop thinks it's responsible for the flood."

And do you like to know what's going on? Do you really? When you refute good news and only amplify bad news? When you go out to discredit a reputable pollster that has an 83% accuracy rate in their polls? Can we find similar posts of yours calling out the Republican bias in several polls that have shown Democrats faring more poorly? Hmm?

And yet another "DU sucks" post from someone that has posted thousands and thousands of messages here. If we are insignificant and mean nothing in the greater scheme of things, why are you here? A sadistic hobby? A job?

[samsingh]

4. these are likely voters where ratios can be manipulated. Democrats are probably doing better than

that.