Ralston thinks Cortez Masto still has a good chance to catch up in NV

[Claustrum]

Here's the math, folks:
If there are 100K mail ballots left in Clark, which would make sense based on turnout there, and the Dems win by the 2-to-1 margin they have so far, CCM could come back to win. More uphill for Sisolak but he's not quite dead yet.

Also: 16K mail in Washoe.

Link to tweet

?cxt=HHwWgoCgxaTO6JEsAAAA

[Raven123]

1. Good chance is a lot different than we got this.

[Claustrum]

2. Sadly, we are behind for quite a bit right now.

It looks like the votes is there if everything lines up well for us.

[Raven123]

3. Hope so, but not optimistic. Incumbent governor going down

If CCM held and GA went to a runoff, I wonder if Warnock’s odds of winning would be better. GOP would be demoralized and maybe stay home.

[Claustrum]

4. Ralston knows his math with NV.

So when he says there should be more than 100k votes out there, it should be. I think the question in his mind is if the votes will be the 2-1 ratio that it currently is. If it tracks, I think Cortez will hold the seat. Finger crossed for that to happen.

Once again though, not a sure thing at all.

[Raven123]

5. Exactly. He is hedging his call for a reason

[Claustrum]

6. Claire made a very good point on MSNBC last night.

The republicans that held their nose for Walker for the Senate would not vote for him again if we already hold the Senate. I think she is right. I hope we can hold both NV and AZ so that would happen. 51 seats would be great.