Ralston said that if Cortez keeps up the 60+% of votes like the first batch in NV

[Claustrum]

she will be ahead out of the 84k votes that's expected to be counted.


First Clark dump of only 14K new ballots and CCM reduces statewide deficit to 18K.

Ds have to love first dump, gaining 5K out of first 14K ballots, with 65 percent to 30 percent spread.

That's first 14K of 84K in Clark.

If margins continue like that, she will be ahead.

IF.

Link to tweet

?cxt=HHwWgoCjiZKy2JIsAAAA

[PortTack]

1. She's gonna make it!!

[W_HAMILTON]

2. But the question becomes how do those outstanding ballots from Washoe work out?

I think that county is more of a split county, so it might come down to them. I believe it is tens of thousands still left to be counted there as well, although not as many as in Clark.

[Claustrum]

4. I think there is 60k from Washoe.

Then it's up to the mail in ballots that's coming in daily. It's going to be close unfortunately.

[Yavin4]

8. OMG! We're relying on the cops of Reno 911.

Lord, help us.

[triron]

12. Ralston seemed to think the Washoe ballots might slightly favor

Democrats. He seems very upbeat about Democrats winning many of the races. But not governor.

[honest.abe]

3. This is very good news indeed!

This is hughi!1?!

[Johnny2X2X]

5. FWIW, betting markets

Betting market has Cortez-Mastro at over 70% to win.

[Cha]

7. Yeah, FWIW... But it sounds promisng

it could be the other way.

Always looking for something positive.. TY.

[Johnny2X2X]

11. Yeah.

Betting markets basically have Rep House almost a lock. Dem Senate almost a lock.

But they also have Lake at 70% to win in AZ.

[triron]

14. The drop from Maricopa County helped Hobbs.

[Cha]

15. Boo on Lake.. & Hope they're Wrong about the

House.

They could be right on some things and not so much on others.

[triron]

13. Great news.

[honest.abe]

6. At this rate CCM will gain another 25000 votes

Which would put her well ahead.

This is a huge relief!

[Claustrum]

9. There is still 60k votes from Washoe which is not as blue, and a few thousand votes from rural area.

And then we still have the daily mail in ballots that's coming in daily (postmarked before the 8th) that should favor democrats. It's just a very close one with a bit of favoring dems. Granted, we need to keep pace with that 2:1 ratio.

[honest.abe]

16. As long as there are no big R leaning chunks of votes remaining..

I think she has got this.

[BlueMTexpat]

10. Fingers VERY

crossed here!

Thank God for DU! If I relied solely on the US M$M, I would never have known how well Dems have done!

[Doc Sportello]

17. Come on CMM

From a purely selfish point of view I don't want to wait more than a month for the GA runoff to determine who controls the Senate.

[Claustrum]

18. It's not just on a selfish point.

If we already hold the senate, a lot of republicans that held their nose to vote for Walker for senate would have no reason to vote in the run-off, making that race much easier for Warnock.

[Doc Sportello]

19. Yes and he won't have Kemp's coattails

Even better in my mind is if CMM can win Nevada, repubs won't be able to use control of the senate as a motivating factor in getting out their voters, some of whom don't like Walker as a person but voted for him in this election. I think Warnock would win fairly easily in that scenario.