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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 06:20 PM Nov 2022

221-214 or 222-213

Is my math right? I believe we win the Alaska district and at at least one out of three of the uncalled CA House races. 221-214 is my hope. The smaller the majority the more hamstrung those malignant 🤡s, save a precious few will be.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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edhopper

(33,591 posts)
1. I think it is 218-212 now
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 06:24 PM
Nov 2022

so anywhere from 218-217 to 223-212, Probably somewhere in between. 220-215 would be great.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
2. There are 4 uncalled races
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 06:27 PM
Nov 2022

Alaska and 3 CA seats. The later returns in CA trend blue but it seems 2 out of the 3 uncalled races are out of reach. Of course I'll hope for the best.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
4. All three races won't break our way but 219-216 would be amazing for us.
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 07:16 PM
Nov 2022

Imagine being unable to lose more than two votes on any bill,especially when 15 Republicans represent Biden districts including a Biden +10 one and a Biden +15 one

LeftInTX

(25,406 posts)
8. The races in California are not changing. The best chance is CA13, but it still stays with the GOP
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 10:22 PM
Nov 2022

slightly ahead. I check it every day, but nothing seems to change.

The other two races are red.


California · District 13
95% reporting

John Duarte
Republican Party
50.3%
63,539 votes

Adam Gray
Democratic Party
49.7%
62,674 votes

Would be great if one would flip, but they don't seem to be budging.

CA 3 appears to be a very rural red area
The other race is Devin Nunes' former seat.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
9. I didn't realize so few votes were left in CA 13.
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 10:29 PM
Nov 2022

How many do you think are left and what % would Gray need?

LeftInTX

(25,406 posts)
10. I have no idea. I'm in Texas. I read 65,000.
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 10:37 PM
Nov 2022

It just seems so static. Yet, when I looked at map, the district looks geographically diverse...

Click for map: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California%27s_13th_congressional_district#/map/0

MichMan

(11,939 posts)
7. The current house is 220-213 until the end of the year
Sat Nov 19, 2022, 08:55 PM
Nov 2022

The Republican majority is remarkably the same as the one in place the last two years

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