2012 Election Model Post-Mortem: Exactly right at 332 EV

[questionseverything]

But Obama did much better than that, just as he did much better than his 365 EV in 2008.
The recorded result was confirmed in the model.
Obama had 332 electoral votes based on the recorded vote total – not the True Vote.
Obama was able once again to overcome the built-in FRAUD FACTOR, which would be reflected by a red-shift in the UNADJUSTED EXIT POLLS. But to paraphrase what Alec Baldwin told the real-estate salesmen in the famous opening scene of the classic film Glen Garry Glen Ross:
“These are the unadjusted exit polls. They are gold – but you don’t get them. They’re for NEP only”.

http://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2012/11/07/4380/

[The Magistrate]

1. This Fella Ought To Get Together With 'Un-Skewed Polls' For A Good Drunk, Sir