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RandySF

(58,800 posts)
Sun Mar 12, 2023, 02:59 PM Mar 2023

Chicago Mayoral Election Poll Shows Tight Race With Vallas Ahead of Johnson

A new poll of more than 800 likely Chicago mayoral election voters found that former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas is holding a lead over Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson, and several key voting blocs could play a significant role in determining the outcome of the race.

The poll, conducted by Victory Research, asked 806 likely runoff voters about their preferences in the upcoming election, with Vallas collecting 44.9% of the vote. Johnson grabbed 39.1% of the vote, with 16% of respondents saying they are still undecided for the April 4 runoff.

The margin of error in the poll was 3.45%, with a mix of respondents on land lines and cell phones, according to the polling company.

Adding some intrigue to the proceedings was the number of voters who said that their choices could change. According to the poll, 18% of respondents said they could change their minds prior to Election Day, meaning that one-third of the voters either haven’t settled on a candidate or could move to the other in the two-man race.

Victory Research also cited demographic data that showed two key groups that could help determine the outcome of the race. Voters living near the city’s lakefront, normally a key constituency in the race, are narrowly favoring Vallas by a 44-to-41 margin.





https://www.nbcchicago.com/chicago-mayoral-election-2023/chicago-mayor-poll-johnson-vallas-election/3092656/

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Chicago Mayoral Election Poll Shows Tight Race With Vallas Ahead of Johnson (Original Post) RandySF Mar 2023 OP
Bookmarking to keep kicked SheltieLover Mar 2023 #1
I Live In A Chicago Suburb & Don't Get To Vote For Chicago's Mayor-But.... global1 Mar 2023 #2
Johnson is more than capable of shooting himself in the foot. nycbos Mar 2023 #4
I am an adopted Chicagoan. nycbos Mar 2023 #3
FOP supported Jon burge so they support police torture mucifer Mar 2023 #5

global1

(25,245 posts)
2. I Live In A Chicago Suburb & Don't Get To Vote For Chicago's Mayor-But....
Sun Mar 12, 2023, 03:21 PM
Mar 2023

if I could vote I'd vote for Johnson and not Vallas. I just don't trust Vallas. Seems false to me. Polished but disingenuous.

Johnson comes off as real.

The campaign is starting to get nasty. The tv ads they're running are very negative.

I'm thinking Vallas will somehow shoot homself in the foot before this is over and will give the win to Johnson.

nycbos

(6,034 posts)
4. Johnson is more than capable of shooting himself in the foot.
Sun Mar 12, 2023, 03:41 PM
Mar 2023

Last year he said "defund the police" it's not just a slogan it's a political goal. They're more than 1000 vacancies in the patrol division right now, and he won't commit to filling them. This shows me that he either doesn't understand, or worse doesn't care how taking positions like this hurts the Democratic Party nationally.

Chicago right now to my understanding as a growing financial technology center. I could be wrong, but I think he's proposing a financial transaction tax. Well, something like that might make sense at the federal level. But, if you impose it on a city level and you're the only city that has won. Those jobs are gonna go somewhere else.

nycbos

(6,034 posts)
3. I am an adopted Chicagoan.
Sun Mar 12, 2023, 03:34 PM
Mar 2023

And I have strong reservations about both candidates.

I worry that they can't be independent of their main political patron.

I don't have a problem with the Chicago Teachers Union (who endorsed Johnson), having a voice in the mayors office. I have a big problem if the teachers union RUNS mayors office.

Ditto for Vallas and the FOP.

mucifer

(23,542 posts)
5. FOP supported Jon burge so they support police torture
Sun Mar 12, 2023, 04:09 PM
Mar 2023

Yes there is some corruption in the teachers Union. But not Jon burge level corruption

Brandon Johnson has my vote

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