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DonRedwood

(4,359 posts)
Wed Nov 14, 2012, 04:10 PM Nov 2012

Did you notice this little gem in the election results?

I've really been pouring over the electoral results and maps. This is something that has really jumped out at me. The toss-up races. We know that Obama pretty much swept the swing states. We know that we picked up some ground in the Senate.

It's the House that I think s hows some really interesting results. The house toss-ups. I'll use HuffPo to explain. They had 17 "Toss-up" House seats. 20 leans Republican and 16 leans Democrat. Here is the beautiful little gem that sets us up quite well for 2014:

Of 17 Toss-ups, the Democrats took 12. 70% or so.
Of 16 Leans Democrat the Dems took 100% of them. (counting Barber in AZ who is currently ahead)
Of 20 Leans Republicans the Dems took 5. 25%.

Wow. This really sums up that the Democrats really kicked butt this election. Of 53 leaning or toss-ups, the Dems took 33 of the seats.

Poll numbers be damned, this is the kind of math that I like to do!!!

(Note, there are a couple of races that they haven't finished counting...but Dems have leads in all of them)

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Did you notice this little gem in the election results? (Original Post) DonRedwood Nov 2012 OP
Nice little "factoid"! PearliePoo2 Nov 2012 #1
We'd probably have a Democratic House if it weren't for the 2010 gerrymandering. sinkingfeeling Nov 2012 #2
i know...i think they knew it was a census year so they went for it DonRedwood Nov 2012 #5
The Dems got over 50% of the votes for house seats.... DonRedwood Nov 2012 #8
here is the chart DonRedwood Nov 2012 #10
link to the DU Post: Highly recced from me :0) DonRedwood Nov 2012 #13
Huffpo's chart sums it up well: DonRedwood Nov 2012 #9
It sorta looks like we gained 4? Still some counting going on so a couple haven't been DonRedwood Nov 2012 #3
the real losers? Grover, the Kochs, KKKarl, and Fox news ChairmanAgnostic Nov 2012 #4
Yeah, but they'll be back.... they don't give up. DonRedwood Nov 2012 #6
grover norquist.... DonRedwood Nov 2012 #7
i love it! ChairmanAgnostic Nov 2012 #11
Thank you! I think you're my first comment on it! :0) DonRedwood Nov 2012 #12
K&R defacto7 Nov 2012 #14
I called CA-52 yesterday here on DU nadinbrzezinski Nov 2012 #15
Nope, Representative Bilbray has not conceded the election. nadinbrzezinski Nov 2012 #19
Not according to Lyan Ryan malaise Nov 2012 #16
Really it's a commentary on media reporting. hay rick Nov 2012 #17
It was just as bad four years ago. I used to watch CNN and was so disgusted by how DonRedwood Nov 2012 #22
Nice digging! dixiegrrrrl Nov 2012 #18
IMO it is all about identifying your voters and GOTV LiberalFighter Nov 2012 #20
Maybe overly optimistic, Iwillnevergiveup Nov 2012 #21
The polls WERE oversampling Republicans ThoughtCriminal Nov 2012 #23

DonRedwood

(4,359 posts)
5. i know...i think they knew it was a census year so they went for it
Wed Nov 14, 2012, 04:58 PM
Nov 2012

all those tea party candidates riling up the base...didn't matter if they only lasted a year...they helped them redistrict a good portion of the country.

DonRedwood

(4,359 posts)
8. The Dems got over 50% of the votes for house seats....
Wed Nov 14, 2012, 05:12 PM
Nov 2012

i saw a great post on here about it earlier. I'll try to find it.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
19. Nope, Representative Bilbray has not conceded the election.
Wed Nov 14, 2012, 06:48 PM
Nov 2012

Suffice it to say last time around, when Susan Davis unseated him, it took him a while.

Fun fact, San Diego's Delegation will be three Dems, and Two republicans for the House and yes, two Dems for the senate

hay rick

(7,638 posts)
17. Really it's a commentary on media reporting.
Wed Nov 14, 2012, 06:33 PM
Nov 2012

The media was invested in the horse race and a close election. They overweighted Republican-financed polls. Unprofessional polling proliferated during this cycle...

DonRedwood

(4,359 posts)
22. It was just as bad four years ago. I used to watch CNN and was so disgusted by how
Wed Nov 14, 2012, 10:31 PM
Nov 2012

far they slanted right that I stopped watching them completely.

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