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Hot off the presses... MIXED polling from PA (Original Post) WarGamer May 7 OP
3 point lead with a 6 POINT MOE? Meaningless poll. Nt Fiendish Thingy May 7 #1
So, you agree that the race is close? brooklynite May 7 #4
I agree that current trends show a statistically tied race Fiendish Thingy May 7 #9
Not as bad as I thought.. DemocratInPa May 7 #2
Polls made, just to get tv ratings. Meadowoak May 7 #3
I think we are good in PA. Groundhawg May 7 #5
Can't ignore what the polls are saying. Doodley May 7 #6
I do not believe bamagal62 May 7 #7
I live in PA Sugarcoated May 7 #8
I'm off polling data. lees1975 May 7 #10

Fiendish Thingy

(15,859 posts)
9. I agree that current trends show a statistically tied race
Tue May 7, 2024, 11:27 PM
May 7

Nationally for sure, and in many swing states.

I have no doubt that Biden will win the popular vote, and that winning swing states, and thus the electoral college, could come down to whether third party candidates can peel off a few thousand votes from either Biden or Trump.


(440 posts)
2. Not as bad as I thought..
Tue May 7, 2024, 09:26 PM
May 7

3-5% is very manageable.. Pa is a 100% swing state.. Remember, Trump won it in 2016, and Biden only won by over a point in 2020.


(3,311 posts)
7. I do not believe
Tue May 7, 2024, 09:52 PM
May 7

Trump will win PA. Unless there are some scams at the voting booth. Which, unfortunately, is highly possible.


(7,760 posts)
8. I live in PA
Tue May 7, 2024, 10:59 PM
May 7

and the maga terrorist ain't gonna beat Scranton Joe. The President kicked the rapist to the curb in 2020 and he'll do it again in November, I predict, by a slightly higher margin


(4,055 posts)
10. I'm off polling data.
Tue May 7, 2024, 11:32 PM
May 7

Polls are being discretited by almost every election being held now. This is propaganda. Something isn't right in their factoring. And no, I don't think it will be this close, especially not in PA, where Democrats just came out of a mid-term election in which they swept every statewide race by margins way outside what the "polls" said they would.

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