General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow close do you think the 2024 race will be?
Simple question with a poll. How close do you think the election will be?
101 votes, 3 passes | Time left: Unlimited | |
About as close a 2020 was, with Harris winning | |
30 (30%) |
|
Closer than 2020, with Harris barely winning | |
9 (9%) |
|
Closer than 2020, with Trump barely winning | |
4 (4%) |
|
Harris winning by a sizable margin (Clinton/Obama style) | |
52 (51%) |
|
Trump winning by a sizable margin (Clinton/Obama style) | |
1 (1%) |
|
Harris winning by a landslide (LBJ/Reagan style) | |
4 (4%) |
|
Trump winning by a landslide (LBJ/Reagan style) | |
1 (1%) |
|
A 269-269 Electoral tie | |
0 (0%) |
|
3 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided. | |
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
Tribetime
(5,842 posts)WarGamer
(14,660 posts)Tribetime
(5,842 posts)NewHendoLib
(60,390 posts)geojazz
(54 posts)Groundhawg
(827 posts)BOSSHOG
(39,255 posts)The rout will be on. For VP and the Coach of course. The only thing trump has going for him is election disrupters and the electoral college. That is the gop in all its glory.
sarisataka
(20,658 posts)Pretty much without doubt she gets the popular by at least a slim margin.
Electoral will be close, but opportunities have opened.
gab13by13
(24,285 posts)sarisataka
(20,658 posts)But as we have seen, it does not guarantee a win
Tribetime
(5,842 posts)Polybius
(17,133 posts)I should have been more clear.
sarisataka
(20,658 posts)Will get 280 or less. As long as Harris has the majority, I am not too concerned with the specific number.
Polybius
(17,133 posts)Imagine if she wins by 5 million votes, and wins the EV with 271 for her, and 267 for Trump. Then two Electors switch and it goes to the House. As each state gets one vote, they elect Trump anyway. It would tear the country apart.
sarisataka
(20,658 posts)Will select reliable electors who will not throw away victory.
Votes by faithless electors have appeared only when the victory is assured.
Self Esteem
(1,240 posts)I don't see anything shaking the race anymore now that the conventions are over. I guess the debate could theoretically alter things so I'll make a firmer prediction after Tuesday. But for the time being, I'm guessing Harris wins the popular vote by 2-3 points and barely a majority in the electoral college.
So:
Harris: 49.7%
Trump: 47.5%
Other: 2.8
And 284 electoral votes.
BOSSHOG
(39,255 posts)VP Harris wins. call to action. Lets remove the cancerous EC.
onenote
(44,089 posts)vote for a constitutional amendment to get rid of the EC?
BOSSHOG
(39,255 posts)Like winning WWII. But a worthwhile effort. Or we could just throw up our hands and cede our freedoms to the likes of whomever is currently in the gop.
I also assume that the Saints will have a tough game next week at Dallas. Should I advise them to stay home?
As Henry Ford said, whether you think you can or you cant youre right.
Polybius
(17,133 posts)It almost happened in 2004.
brewens
(15,359 posts)might end up at Guantanamo but not the rest. Dick endorsing Harris just gets him a little higher level of Hell as far as I'm concerned.
Polybius
(17,133 posts)Every one I know told me "good for him."
WarGamer
(14,660 posts)Response to Polybius (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
WarGamer
(14,660 posts)sarisataka
(20,658 posts)I think you will be shown the door just as quickly.
Fiendish Thingy
(17,731 posts)Response to Polybius (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
GP6971
(32,458 posts)sarisataka
(20,658 posts)You seem well versed for being here 10 minutes.
GP6971
(32,458 posts)a quick learner.
Polybius
(17,133 posts)I never knew that was even possible.
LogDog75
(65 posts)But it's the Electoral College vote that counts and I think Harris will get just over 300 EC votes. I think Georgia and North Carolina will be major factors in who wins. I can see TFG winning Georgia in a close race and Harris easily taking North Carolina. Both states have 16 EC votes it's a wash from the 2020 election.
Xolodno
(6,644 posts)A lot can still happen. But one thing for sure, there are times I wonder if I've seriously underestimated a significant portion of the population of this country's ignorant. From both my wife and myself as products of our history, exiles and refugees, things at times rhyme a bit too much.