Obama leads Mitt Romney by landslide numbers

[ProSense]

Obama leads Mitt Romney by landslide numbers
by kos

Using TPM's aggregation of the latest poll numbers, here is the current state of the electoral battleground. I'm even keeping in Rasmussen polls to give the GOP an unwarranted bump in their numbers.



Michigan, New Mexico and Wisconsin really aren't swing states anymore. And while Missouri doesn't feel like a swing state anymore, it sports a closer margin than most of the other states on this list. In fact, other than Iowa, nothing on this list looks particularly tight at the moment. (And remember, the aggregates would look even worse for the GOP if I omitted Rasmussen's bogus results. Omit the GOP's favorite pollster, and Arizona is suddenly a 2.5-point Romney lead. Missouri is a 45-45 tie.)

So let's take those numbers and slap them onto a map:

- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/04/11/1082476/-Obama-leads-Romney-by-landslide-numbers

[lpbk2713]

1. Goppers, that Tampa gig will be a waste of time and money.

Throw in the towel now and save yourselves a lot of unnecessary embarrassment.

[NightWatcher]

2. Shhh let's have it be a surprise when O takes 38-40 states

along with the accompanying Dem landslide that follows.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

3. What the hell is going on in IA? There's no way in hell that we'll lose IA. No Democrat

has lost IA since Reagan, or am I wrong?

[emulatorloo]

6. A Des Moines Register poll, total outlier

Most of us in the Iowa group think it was totally whack, none of it made any sense.

[libinnyandia]

7. I think W won in 2004.

[Lil Missy]

18. Iowa went bush in 2004.

For shame! This is my state!

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

4. ETA: MI and WI have gone for Democrats since Reagan, too, right?

I don't remember these two states ever being "swing." Nevada? Yes.

[WI_DEM]

10. Wrong

From 1968-1984 Wisconsin voted GOP in every election except narrowly for Carter in 1976. Prior to 1964 WI was solid for the GOP in most presidential elections from 1952. It went Truman in 1948 but FDR lost it in 1944.

Michigan was Republican in every presidential election from 1972-1992. MI ws Democratic during the 60's with JFK, LBJ and HHH winning. In the 50's Ike won Michigan. In the 40's FDR lost MI in 1940, won it narrowly in 1944 and Truman lost it in 1948.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

27. Ok but I'm referring to Reagan and beyond...

[Itchinjim]

5. Iowans will turn out for Obama.

I guarantee it.

[WI_DEM]

8. At the moment it looks good. Let's not get cocky

[Tarheel_Dem]

9. K&R

[libinnyandia]

11. In 2008 Nader won 4 times as many votes as McCain's margin of victory.

[Capt. Obvious]

15. How many votes did Non Sequitur win by?

[libinnyandia]

24. I forgot to reference Missouri. Missouri gave McCain a very close victory preventing Missouri from

continuing its streak of supporting the winning candidate. Missouri might go for Obama this year if the left isn't divided .

[Initech]

12. No way in hell will the Koch brothers be able to buy this election.

No amount of Citizens United money will save their asses from a near unanimous victory. And I say let's let 'em waste billions - it'll be fun to watch.

[1StrongBlackMan]

13. And I suspect ...

Arizona will be closer than the polling indicates because there is a huge Hispanic GOTV drive going on and, from what I am told, the evangalical preachers are not that hot on that "cult-member." (Though they might be balanced out by the votes out of, as one commentator termed it, Southern Utah).

[MineralMan]

14. This shouldn't lead to complacency.

It's a long way until November, and there are legislative seats to win, as well. Let's campaign as if it were a close, close race.

[ProSense]

20. No it shouldn't

It should be strengthened.

[Jackpine Radical]

22. No, it should lead to optimism, heightened feelings of efficacy and

increased commitment to get out there & turn the country around.

[Scurrilous]

16. K & R

[Johnny2X2X]

17. Looks good

Let's keep our heads about us though, this is a marathon not a sprint, there will be ups and downs before November and the picture wont always look so rosy.

Just keep working, donate, volunteer, blog, talk to your friends and neighbors, this is going to take a huge effort from regular people as Romney will have a lot more Super PAC money. Do not get complacent and risk handing the country back to the robber barons that Romney works for.

[Lil Missy]

19. We're pretty energized in Iowa. I'm surprised to see Romney slightly ahead. n/t.

[Jackpine Radical]

21. Damn, but I take a lot of encouragement from this.

Not only for Fall, but with WI showing that kind of spread, the recall chances are looking nice. I just can't imagine a lot of people in this state voting for Walker this summer & Obama in the fall.

[craigmatic]

23. Team Obama shouldn't get comfortable yet because Dukakis was headed for a landslide in '88 too

and we all know how that went. Looks like mittens will have to go hard negative in the general to catch up.

[Indykatie]

25. Regardless of the Good Polls I Doubt the Obama Campaign or Ds Will Be Complacent

Though I thouroughly expect folks to keep admonsihing us all not to be. Which of any of the States in the post show improved results over 2008?

[n2doc]

26. Unlike then Obama has had 4 years of mud thrown at him

There is literally nothing left that they can blame him for/accuse him of that hasn't been said ad nauseum. Romney has been making crap up, but that just gets him into more trouble.

[Dawson Leery]

28. Which explains all the "nontroversies".