Poll: Clinton leads Romney, crushes Bush

[wyldwolf]

A new Democracy Corps poll revealed some very bad news for Republicans as Hillary Clinton leads Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin while she crushes Jeb Bush as voters remain openly hostile to electing another Bush president.

Clinton leads Romney 49%-43%, and she leads Jeb Bush 52%-40%.

Riding both an improving political context for Democrats and a more favorable demography in a presidential year election, Hillary Clinton opens with a six point lead over Mitt Romney and double that margin over Jeb Bush. Both parties are unusually consolidated at this very early point in the election cycle with 87 to 95 percent support for their nominees. But Clinton holds an early edge among Independent voters (44 – 39 percent combining Bush and Romney trial heats). More broadly, she builds her margin on strong support among ascendant voters including youth (67 – 25 percent in the combined measure), people of color (77 – 16 percent) and unmarried women (62 – 33 percent). There is a significant and predictable gender gap here (16 points). As has consistently been the case in recent presidential elections, the marriage gap among women is bigger (22 points).

The coalition that elected Obama in 2008 and 2012 remains in place, despite the setback in 2014. Along with Clinton’s impressive support among white college educated women (56 percent Clinton, 39 percent Republican candidate), this coalition is big enough to produce a national win in 2016. The key tactical issue now is whether Clinton can protect and grow this support, and if she can produce a large enough win to recover Democratic losses from the last cycle.

http://www.politicususa.com/2015/01/18/poll-hillary-clinton-comfortably-leads-mitt-romney-crushes-jeb-bush.html

[hrmjustin]

1. Good news. i will repost this in the Hillary room soon.

[Dawgs]

2. So. Neither Hillary or Romney are the nominees. n/t

[Agnosticsherbet]

3. This is what they do. There will be better than a thousand of these polls

Last edited Mon Jan 19, 2015, 05:47 PM - Edit history (1)

between now and the end of the primary season, providing a head to head match between one candidate and another.

In a way it is like hearing anouncer of a horse race calling out who is ahead from minute to minute.

In the long run it means little, but for me it is heartening that a Democrat is curshing Brand Zomibe.

[Dawgs]

4. Exactly, they don't mean a thing..just makes the supporters feel good or bad. n/t

[Agnosticsherbet]

5. What you do is watch the trend.

These polls are snapshots of a race. Two snapshots mean a little more. Ten will show a definite trend.