I'm watching CNN and they are saying the Exit polls were WAY OFF

[lovuian]

and are asking how did they get it so wrong

What will happen in the Presidents Election?

[BP2]

1. Reportedly they oversampled (n/t)

[rufus dog]

3. who did they over sample?

Voters?

[tabatha]

4. They have been doing it for years and years, and now they suddenly get it wrong?

Yeah. Right.

[tabatha]

2. There is something rotten in the state of Wisconsin.

[HereSince1628]

13. yep, but I don't think it's in the exit polls.

[flamingdem]

5. FANCY that

nt

[aquart]

6. Why would the exit polls have been off?

[Shrek]

16. They usually are

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002771076#post8

[TheWraith]

7. One, Republicans are typically reluctant responders.

They don't like answering exit polls--call it either paranoia or just being assholes--which tends to skew the exits anti-Republican.

That said, I think the polls will be more accurate by the end of the night. Milwaukee is still coming in.

[WhoIsNumberNone]

19. Well, Milwaukee just flipped over to Blue

Bringing Barrett to within 230,000 votes....

[dpibel]

21. Isn't that sweet

Resurrecting the "reluctant responders" meme from 2000 and 2004.

Good show.

[AzDar]

8. Aren't large discrepancies in exit polling v. results supposed to be an indication of election

fraud?

[gkhouston]

11. Yes. n/t

[crazylikafox]

15. yes

[Liberal_Dog]

29. In Other Countries, Yes

Here in the good ol USA, No Fucking Way.

[snappyturtle]

9. This is not good. They can obviously just make shit up

and pass it on as they go. It's like they got the 'word'
and for whatever reason are blaming poor exit polling.
Something reeks! imho

[spanone]

10. same as 2000 & 2004

[polichick]

12. Yeah, just like the exit polls were off when Kerry was leading...

Without verifiable voting, we've got no way to prove anything.

God bless America - really, cuz we're fucked.

[madashelltoo]

14. I'M LAUGHING. CNN IS SCRATCHING THEIR HEADS

CBS will be scratching theirs too before the night is over. Something stinks real bad around here and someone will find the source any minute now.

[deaniac21]

20. scratching had because they my be going away.

[Indydem]

17. Why is it that polling is generally considered bullshit,

But exit polls are considered sacred?

Polling is still polling. People can refuse to participate, pollsters are not at every single polling place, and samples do get skewed.

[dark forest]

23. There's only

one poll that means shit.

Looks like this one went Right.

[HangOnKids]

24. Please Dude Read Some History About Exit Polling

If you vote you should consider the history of exit polling. Now please scoot over and find a place on my ignore list. Thanks.

[tabatha]

25. Exit polling is not run by right-wing owners of voting machines

who will not show their software for validation by voters.

[polichick]

26. Exactly - and until the people demand verifiable voting...

...there's no point in holding elections.

[shcrane71]

18. Who says they're going to vote for Obama in November, and then votes for Walker?

Who does that? I don't believe it.

[WCGreen]

22. I'm sure they started with a regular model and then tried to adjust...

Any "special" election is just that, a special election and the predictive models are basically no good...

[GoCubsGo]

27. So, they are incapable of entertaining the possibility...

...that maybe the polls are right, and there are problems with the voting? Why does that not surprise me?

[jillan]

28. 2004 deja vu'

[alp227]

30. Prof. Larry Sabato's suggestion:

"What all TV anchors should say at 7 pm Nov. 6: 'We have early exit data but toplines have been so unreliable for years we'll hold off.'"

http://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/210204414005358593