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Takket

(21,565 posts)
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 11:45 PM Jun 2012

Turnout sank the wisconsin ship

With 88% in, Walker is ahead roughly 1,100,000 to 900,000 (2 million votes). Add another 12% and this night ends around 2.2 million votes with walker probably around 1,250,000 and barrett 1,000,000

The number for walker makes sense if you look at the 2008 presidential election, where McCain brought in 1,262,393. Right wing support remained constant.

But look at those voting on the left. 1,000,000 for barrett in this election but 1,677,211 for Obama in 2008. Nearly a 40% drop in those voting on the "left". Now obviously not everyone who votes for Obama will vote for Barrett, but it stands to reason that if those 677,000 people the showed up in 2008 all showed up today, that 2/3 of them supporting Barrett is probably not out of the question, and he could have won this election.

Walker didn't win the recall, apathy did.

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Takket

(21,565 posts)
4. Sorry but people talking about cars lined up on the side of the road isn't as convincing as actual
Wed Jun 6, 2012, 12:02 AM
Jun 2012

.... vote tallies.

TheWraith

(24,331 posts)
2. Couple that to the exit polls saying 60% disapproved of the use of a recall.
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 11:52 PM
Jun 2012

And you probably have a pretty good idea why many of those other people stayed home. The base came out, but the Dem-leaners didn't.

pstokely

(10,528 posts)
6. Will Dem-leaners come out or stay home in 5 months?
Wed Jun 6, 2012, 12:04 AM
Jun 2012

Will Dem-leaners in other states care that Obama did not get involved?

 

RonWF

(5 posts)
8. Money didn't lose this election, but you're right
Wed Jun 6, 2012, 12:38 AM
Jun 2012

about the weak candidate. Not money, though - after all the attention to this campaign anyone with a pulse knew what the issues were.

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