Presidential Polls as of yesterday.....

[spanone]

PollsElection 2016VideoWritersMore


Polls
ArrowQuick Poll/Map LinksAdvanced SearchFind Any Poll
Election 2016 Presidential Polls
23k Shares Election Polls | President Polls | State Polls | Senate Polls | House Polls | Governor Polls | Approval Polls
Thursday, June 30
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP--------------------------------Clinton 44, Trump 40 Clinton +4
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Rasmussen Report----------------------Clinton 39, Trump 43 Trump +4
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) ----------------------------------Clinton 48, Trump 44 Clinton +4
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Reuters/Ipsos----------------------------Clinton 42, Trump 32 Clinton +10
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein BD/TIPP----------Clinton 37, Trump 36, Johnson 9, Stein 5 Clinton +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein PPP (D)-----------Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2 Clinton +4
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Reuters/Ipsos----Clinton 42, Trump 31, Johnson 5, Stein 4 Clinton +11
Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton Loras College--------------------------------------Clinton 48, Trump 34 Clinton +14
Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Loras College-------------Clinton 44, Trump 31, Johnson 6, Stein 2 Clinton +13
New York: Trump vs. Clinton Siena----------------------------------------Clinton 54, Trump 31 Clinton +23

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

[riversedge]

1. That Rass...poll seems to be an outliner. Lets hope it is.

[emulatorloo]

2. They predicted Romney would win right up to Election Day 2012

So IMHO they don't have a very good track record.

[ailsagirl]

7. Is Rasmussen run by repukes???

Historically, they bomb frequently

[Cryptoad]

10. Go read Nate Silver's pollster ratings,,,,,,,,

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

[ailsagirl]

11. Thanks, Cryptoad

I'll do that



PS Nate Silver is the only one I really pay attention to.

[ailsagirl]

14. That's pretty solid proof!!

[spanone]

17. the ONLY one showing trump with a lead....hmmmmmmm

[edhopper]

3. Rasmussen has a

really bad party and demographic algorithm.

[floriduck]

4. Even PPP only has a 4 point spread. Why so close? It's Trump for God sakes.

[Old Codger]

5. A lot of people

Are making the mistake of underestimating the dislike that exists in this entire process and the nominees that came out of it...half the people I have heard lately are not even going to vote they hate both candidates and just don't really care which one wins..

[redwitch]

6. Hubby just told me of a poll...

Where 13% of the people asked would prefer a meteor hitting earth than Hillary or Trump being elected.

[Cryptoad]

13. I saw a poll that showed

the Median IQ for voters is now below 60

[floriduck]

15. I'm seeing a lot of evidence of that lately.

[Atticus]

12. A brief post about how hated our candidate is and SEVEN "Bernies"?

Thanks for all the help "healing" the party.

[Old Codger]

16. Are you really?

Going to think that it is going to be "healed" this time around...Don't delude yourself...Not gonna happen... Last time around there was what seemed to be a reason to heal it and go on, this time around they have shown us beyond a doubt that we do not count..

[Cryptoad]

19. let me say,,,

goodbye and farewell now just in case I am not here when u have leave !

[Atticus]

21. I guess the "new GE rules" don't really mean a thing, do they? My bad. I'm one of those damned

DEMOCRATS!

If this crap is still what must be waded through in order to participate here I wish they'd change the name to "Whatever" and get it over with.

[Old Codger]

22. Besides that

Only 6 Bernies....

[spanone]

18. when bernie gives his blessings things will change....

[lpbk2713]

8. Rass's results are usually unreliable.

They seem to go to the highest bidder.

[IronLionZion]

9. They should also add in blood clot vs bone cancer into the polls

Bone cancer might pull ahead

[Doctor Jack]

20. Polls fluctuate, its going to happen

Occasionally, you will see several polls all moving slightly in one direction, apropo of nothing. It happens in every election and if no specific event seems to be identifiable, its probably just noise.

Look at a chart of the 2008 polls




You will see on June 26, 2008, Obama was ahead by about 6.5 points in the averages. By July 11th, he was down to a 4 point lead, before shooting back up to a 6 point lead a week later. If you go back and read the news from that 3 week period, you will see that jack shit happened during that time. Obama slipped down for a week or two and then jumped back up, for no reason. Its just noise in the polls.

Has Clinton's national lead fell slightly in the last week? Maybe from about 7 in the averages to just over 6 points. Is there anything we can point to that has happened in the last week that would significantly alter the trajectory of the election? I can't. Probably just meaningless fluctuations, perhaps from people focusing more on their 4th of July plans and less on politics.