Will Trump get a bump from the Convention?

[edhopper]

Normally the candidate gets at least a small, if short lived bump from their convention.
Will Trump get one, or will this year be different?

I won't be surprised either way.

[Dustlawyer]

1. No, just a "bump" backstage at the convention!

[John Poet]

2. Several bumps-- all over his pointy head!

He got the first bump last night....

One can hardly wait for whatever comes next!



If there's any polling bump, I think you'll need a microscope to find it. So far their convention has generated nothing but bad stories... If that keeps up, they'll get a "bump", all right-- but in the wrong direction!

[Hoyt]

3. If he spouts enough racist, war mongering, gun love, etc., yes.

[beachbumbob]

4. No more angry white people to be found...so no bump

[flor-de-jasmim]

5. Didn't he already get one in the form of a fender-bender?

[hatrack]

6. I was thinking more along the lines of a "crater" . . .

YMMV

[tonyt53]

7. I'm sure some on here will say that he won't, but he certainly will. Always happens.

It is up to Hillary to lessen that bump, and she will by introducing her VP pick on Friday. By the time the Democratic party convention is over, trump's skeeter bite sized bump will be gone and Hillary will be riding a much larger bump all the way through.

[Wounded Bear]

8. If there was one time when no bump occurred, it would be this one...

as far as I can see, Trump's numbers have always floated right around the magic 40% number, which basically is the Repub base and some add-on crazies. I don't see many additional supporters jumping on board.

One reason people get a bump is the media coverage, which typically isn't as strong as it has been this year. Usually, the convention is the first big rollout and the time when people first start to tune in. Shit, this year they treated every primary like fucking Tuesday in November. This election has been vastly over-hyped. The media has been saturating the airwaves. I don't see a bump from people that haven't been watching. Who could have avoided the shit-storm up til now?

So, I guess he'll get a 2-3 point bump. Like has been said above, they always do, but I don't see a big one and it wouldn't surprise me it if it stays within the MOE of the polls.

Hillary's bump will be bigger and more lasting. Good year to hold the convention last.

[NaturalHigh]

9. Probaly a brief one. It won't last long.

[Johonny]

10. Probably

If only because a large segment of society doesn't pay attention to the election cycle at all until the first convention. So likely a meaningless 3-5% bump that quickly decays. That seems like the norm.

[edhopper]

11. yes

but is anything "the norm' this year/