Landslide.

[oioioi]

[panader0]

1. I think you may be right.

[oioioi]

3. These brutally protracted fifteen minutes are almost concluded, mercifully.

The end will, I suspect, be entertaining, at least. Hopefully the Lords of the Flies in the TV towers will turn upon their escaped monster with great enthusiasm - there's nothing quite like a new product and market to excite them - and, of course, there is no honor among thieves.

[panader0]

10. I caught you at 444 posts. My favorite number.

When I play the numbers.

[vadermike]

2. Could be

But we will still work like hell no matter what No complacency here Now it looks like trump is trying to get out of the debates by whining about them

[oioioi]

6. It won't matter if there are debates or not

[StraightRazor]

4. You'd think so...

but, um...America.

[oioioi]

5. America is already pretty great and will overwhelmingly support Hillary in November

[StraightRazor]

9. It is and I hope so...

but I wouldn't bet on the 'overwhelmingly' part.

[Wednesdays]

7. George W. Bush.

Nothing more need be said.

[StraightRazor]

8. Well, you could add...

Twice.

[ProfessorGAC]

20. Except for 19 Whackos Using Planes as Weapons. . .

. . .he would have been shown the gate in 2004. Too many americans are way too afraid.

[StraightRazor]

21. Oh, absolutely...

but in retrospect, I have the feeling (though it is admittedly conspiracy-ish) that since they were looking (hoping?) for such an event, that at some point during the first term, something would have happened even if what did happen didn't that would have garnered very much the same outcome re war & fear.

But, had all things been equal in 2004 you're right W would have been a one-term President.

[PDittie]

11. Latest projection from FLHQ: Clinton 341, Trump 197

http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2016/07/the-electoral-college-map-72916.html

Might be a little closer than that, but not much closer.

[oioioi]

12. I see cause for wild optimism...

The RABA poll showed Clinton opening up a 7 point lead with men (42%-35%), a 22 point lead with women (50%-28%). Clinton also had 14% of the Republican vote, and she led by double digits with all age groups.

From www.politicsusa.com

[MoonRiver]

16. I rec'd for optimism,

but this data is what got me to kick!

[Orsino]

15. I want him to lose bigger than Romney did.

If he's even still on the ticket in November.

[oioioi]

18. It won't even be that close. :) The Trumpster is Toast.

I want to say 50 states. I cannot believe a majority in any US State would elect this idiot.

It probably won't be 50, but thereabouts.

[Iggo]

13. Starting to look that way.

[Orsino]

14. I told y'all.

One fond wish I have is for better Republicans to run, so as to make our Dems have to work to be better. I believe that Trump was always going to make it easy, and if I've been wrong for eleven months in saying he'd quit, I still think I may turn out belatedly correct.

Does trump dare to waste his time running behind Clinto toward an inevitable loss? I don't see how hedl be able to stand it. He's trying to wiggle out of the debates, and something tells me he's going to quit his campaign (as he did every previous time).

[The Second Stone]

17. Now is the time! To the polls!!!

[whatthehey]

19. Well by recent standards perhaps

But there's 180 or so EVs that are all but guaranteed in the big red L. We can, deservedly, coo over close polls in UT and a lead in GA but there's little hope that they won't shift safely red by Nov. The days of 64 and 84 style shellackings are gone for quite a while, even with a toxic enemy nominee. Most of that L would vote for Idi Amin (R) over Mother Teresa (D) all day every day without a thought, thanks to a generation of poisonous mind pollution on radio and TV plus a carefully honed RWNJ system of twisted apologetics that makes the RCC sound like a world class research paper in re objective empiricism and sound logic.

When I'm in a positive mood 358-180 seems about right. In a funk maybe 313-225. Will probably end up in the middle, closer to the latter. A solid win, but no Mondalesque drubbing.

[oioioi]

22. Why can't she go over 400?

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

says 368.

If she wins SC, MS, KS, MO, IN it will be well over 400. Those poll leads will surely be gone with the latest stories - the bottom for The Donald is a long way down just yet, I suspect.

It's not going to be even slightly close. Not remotely. How could a voting majority in any state continue to support this farce?

[whatthehey]

23. You mean why won't she?

Because the first three states you mention are wild pipedreams. Trump could bugger a boy scout on live TV and carry them. The last two in a +12 or so popular vote win may be achievable, but right now we are averaging about a +8 and there are no overriding local criteria. Typically polls narrow from here on in. Trump of course is not typical but Republican voters are, and many on DU underestimate how much in the minds of many the qualitities of patriotism, decency and social acceptability are tied up in the (R) regardless of whose name comes first.