Nate Silver: Clinton Won The Debate, Which Means She’s Likely To Gain In The Polls

[Buckeye_Democrat]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/

(snip)

Democrats woke up on Monday to a spate of bad polls for Hillary Clinton, which brought Donald Trump to perhaps his closest position yet in the Electoral College. They had reason to go to bed feeling a lot better. Clinton bested Trump in the first presidential debate according to a variety of metrics, and the odds are that she’ll gain in head-to-head polls over Trump in the coming days.

Start with a CNN poll of debate-watchers, which showed that 62 percent of voters thought Clinton won the debate compared to 27 percent for Trump — a 35-point margin. That’s the third-widest margin ever in a CNN or Gallup post-debate poll, which date back to 1984. The only more lopsided outcomes were the 1992 town hall debate between Bill Clinton, George H.W. Bush and Ross Perot — widely seen as a maestro performance by Clinton — and the first debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012, when the CNN poll showed a 42-point win for Romney and the horse-race polls moved in his favor in the following days...

[Warren DeMontague]

1. Let's hope.

[Orrex]

2. Alternatively: Clinton won, so the media will now work harder to enable Trump

[DarthDem]

3. LOL. Welcome Back, Nate S.

Silver is really changing his spots as often as that "Nowcast" moves its numbers. Yesterday it was "Hillary will win the debate and the polls won't show it." Glad he seems to have regained his rationality.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

5. No, I think he said the snapchat polls will show Hillary winning the debate....

...and the media will ignore them and try to make it a tie or say Trump won.

Which sounds like any number of cynical DU posts on a daily basis. Obviously, they were so lopsided they couldn't do it.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

4. K&R