Can the Nate Silver bashing please stop?

[ericson00]

I'm seeing a lot of people bash Nate Silver. Sure, his numbers for Trump are higher than we'd like right now, but let that be motivation to get out, vote, and get everyone else to do it too, and do it for Hillary Clinton.

Nate got 98% (49 states + DC) of electoral college jurisdictions right in 2008 and 100% (50 states + DC) of them right in 2012.

Could also be that Nate, unlike the other "journalists" out there, actually is showing humility given what happened in the GOP primaries. That's good, because most journalists and pundits make up a narrative when they're wrong. See the Perot-myth.

For President, I'm With Her.

For electoral forecasts, I'm with him.

[qdouble]

1. He's getting bashed because he's obviously hedging his bets. He still has Hillary set to win,

but weighing the polls in such a way that if he's wrong on anything, he can just claim it was a toss-up.

[idziak4ever1234]

2. He may have got 100% in 2012...

but he already missed on Nevada

[sharp_stick]

5. I'll wait until

they count the votes.

[duffyduff]

7. Clinton has won that state and Cortez Masto will be in the Senate

Harry Reid has done a hell of lot to motivate Democrats in the state.

[sharp_stick]

9. As the old saying goes

"From your lips to God's ears"...and I'm an atheist.

[andym]

8. The good news is that Hillary is the favorite in his latest models

and he is standing by his models. Since there is some uncertainty it means WE can MAKE a difference by GOTV.
So go to it.

[joeybee12]

10. knr. he's been right more than he's been wrong

He has to rely on the polling which I think is wrong because it's definition of likely voter is very different from past elections.

[GeorgeGist]

11. Trump screws up everything he touches.

[Stinky The Clown]

12. Not a bash, but his stats have been very "noisy" this cycle.

Noise being statistical static. The nature of this cycle is really unprecedented. The best of the polls move more than they ought to. Newer polls are often highly variable.

[Kablooie]

13. From what I know he tries to be unbiased.

To attack him because you don't like what his numbers tell you is what I would expect from Trumpistas, not us.

If you have a valid critique of his methods that's one thing but if he says Trump is moving up that's worrisome but about Trump not about Silver.