Thoughts on black turnout for Clinton?

[angrychair]

It was a key factor for Clinton's victory in the primaries.
Is it really down, I really don't see it being as significant as they try to make it. Comparing to 2008 seems disingenuous as it was record setting. Is anyone seeing or seeing that in their areas?

[upaloopa]

1. How much of this low turnout is because of voter suppression laws.

If you close voting places and cut hours and require hard to get IDs i would guess turnout would be lower. That is the motive behind the laws.

[dembotoz]

3. hrc is not obama

[Lee-Lee]

4. Here in NC

I think urban turnout will do well.

Rural I am worried about. A lot of the rural counties with the highest black population are the ones like Robeson and Scotland who are still very, very damaged by the flooding. These counties went strong for Obama in the last 2 elections. A whole lot of people have been displaced, some are barely back into homes working to fix them, many are without work because their workplace flooded.

Same goes for urban Fayeteville.

I am really worried that this will affect motivation to turnout as well as real ability to turnout. If your car was flooded and you are saying with family a county over or even 5 miles from your precinct getting a ride to the polling place won't be easy.

[angrychair]

5. That was my concern in NC

I have family friends that live near Warsaw and some of the other impacted areas. People are still recovering and polling stations don't exist anymore. North Carolina and its republican governor seems unenthusiastic about giving black communities a lot of alternatives.

[LanternWaste]

6. In two days, 2016 black early voting went from 25 percent lower than 2012 to just 9 percent.

After drawing national attention for African-American early voting turnout that was falling below 2012's record pace, North Carolina saw a surge in black voters during the final days of the 2016 early voting period, which ended Saturday.

The African-American voting surge in the final days of early voting, which had been limited in many key North Carolina counties, helped significantly close the turnout gap. In two days, 2016 black early voting went from 25 percent lower than 2012 to just 9 percent.

https://www.facingsouth.org/2016/11/black-vote-surges-final-days-north-carolina-early-voting

[uponit7771]

7. THE MEDIA DOESN'T UNDERSTAND PROPORTION!!! Black turn out in FL higher than 2012 already

... because blacks make up only 10 - 15% of the state even if 100% of eligible blacks voted the black vote would be down relative to the whole if other demo's are up.

Black vote relative to black VOTERS is up over 2012... recently reported in GD 2016

[angrychair]

8. Excellent news uponit7771!

Thanks for the update! I agree, the reporting this Letha's been horrible and uninformed.