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TheHak

(71 posts)
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 09:59 AM Dec 2016

How the man without party, Macron might win the French election

Macron has not received much public attention. He is in ny opinion a pretty extraordinary candidate. He is getting monentum. His meetings are packed with 10x more people than the official right wing candidate.

He is a left wing liberal with the following programme. Worth the read in my opinion.

His assesment of the world:

Western democracies combining real freedom with capital markets have been both extraordinary places to live in but also the global drivers of growth. The balance within them however relies on a social pact (different in the us and in europe) where inequalities are handled and there is no social unrest.

Globalization is great and inevitable but it has increased inequalities as it has really benefited the 1% of the wealthiest and the emerging middle classes. The traditional middle class, the cement of our social pacts, is struggling to position itself.

As a result there will be 2 solutions: 1) the middle classes will elect government that will reject globalization, refocus on themselves, desperetaly try and retain employment at all cost (ie also at the cost of innovation) there is almost no chance it can succeed but it will happend and countries closing on themselves will necessarily be more violent vis a vis th others

The 2nd option is what he wants to bring to France:

A) recognize that the long term cycle of employment has changed. Jobs will be lost so you need to focus from protecting the jobs to protecting the people: employment contracts need to be flexible to encourage companies to be dynamics and people should have a safety net to encourage them to take risks (healthcare, etc..) and there should be a strong focus on education not only for the childrn but also for the adults to retrain them in having skills useful to an economy that is changing at a much higher speed.

B) Focus on innovation; the biggest challenge of our lifetime, climate change but also the tranformation of the global economy into a much more automated and ai centric economy means risks but also huge rewards. France has to encourage innovation and reward innovation. The country needs to attract and reatin as much talend as possible.

C) a third avenue: the traditional answer of the right to say: its a meritocracy, let the winners win will not be tenable in the light of what is happening to the middle cllass but the answer of the traditional left which is lets cap the winners will not work either. If despite the best training you cant compete with usain bolt, there is no reason to cut his ligaments. What is unacceptable i that someone as gifter as usain bolt isnt given the chance to compete because he is born in the wrong neighborhood.

And so D) the focus has to be done on education. A heavy refocus of government spend has to go back to education as a cement of our social pact and as the backbone of the focus on innovation.

E) the framework should be much liberalized: the global economy is moving too fast to have rigid rules set in place by a global governement. The government shouldnt impose its will as to how companies are organized nor how many hours each employee should work. Decision making should be less centralized to have less admin and quicker more adapted reactions. Similarly education targets should be set but the means cant be imposed as this is a function of local specificites. Teaching should be meritocratic and teaching the the most difficult neighborhoods should be paid more.

It sounds to me he is one of the most modern candidate in the political world today. Interesting for sure. He says also a lot of interesting things on europe (pro european) but thats for another time to not make this post too long.

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