Gulf Coast and Florida DUers - pay attention please

[malaise]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED.
HOWEVER...THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED AND
SURFACE PRESSURES ARE FALLING ACROSS THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE UNITED STATES GULF
COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN CUBA...AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH
SATURDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

Word is this will be Tropical Storm Debby by tomorrow or Sunday - moving very slowly with lots of rain.

[Rod Mollise]

1. Rut-roh...

Thanks...we will keep an eye on it for sure...

[LuvNewcastle]

2. Our local weather people have revised their predictions

about this wave a few times already. At first they said that it was going to dump rain on south Florida and then cross Florida and move into the Atlantic. Then they said it was going to move up over Georgia, South Carolina, and maybe up the Eastern Seaboard. Last night they said that they were watching it for possible development and they thought that we would get some rain here. So they keep moving it farther to the west. I hope it's just a rain maker and there won't be a lot of high winds with it.

[malaise]

3. Well i just heard them suggesting

more like one of Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and even Louisiana - in other words they are really not sure at this time

[LuvNewcastle]

4. They aren't sure; that's what I'm saying.

They thought that high pressure might keep it away from us on the Miss. coast, but now it looks like that high pressure isn't going to dip down this far, meaning this tropical wave could possibly affect us. But it's too early to tell just yet. We'll just have to wait and see.

[Aerows]

14. Once one forms in the Gulf

It's really anybody's guess until it gets closer to landfall. I'm concerned that it could be slow moving and pick up all of that really warm water. We already have temps above 85° F in some areas (Mobile, for instance).

Living on the coast, and going through the hardest hit area where Katrina went, I always get nervous when I start seeing them form nearby...

[malaise]

17. Be prepared for the worst

and stay safe

[JoeyT]

5. Argh.

I swear we're always either in a drought or drowning.

[TBF]

6. Front Page of Houston Chron "Gulf Storm Could Hit Anywhere"

Gee, that's helpful.

I've got a full gas tank just in case.

[malaise]

7. Not sure they can be more accurate at this time

because among the many variables is the fact that it is moving very slowly. just look at the models.

[Fla Dem]

10. UGH...I'm right in the middle between the top 2 tracks on the east coast.

If it does hit here, I hope it weakens after it comes ashore and travels over land. We desparately need the rain, but don't wish a hurricane on anyone. Batten down the hatches Floridians!

[malaise]

13. Well it is moving slowly but I'm not sure it will be more than a TropicalStorm

at landfall. The problem looks more like rain and flooding.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

20. Where abouts are you at?

My parents are in Gainesville, and my dad keeps on telling me how dry it is around there. They got some decent relief from Beryl but still need more.

If its only going to be a tropical depression, I say North Florida should welcome it.

[Fla Dem]

25. Yes we do need the rain.

Got some decent rain fall in the past month, but that was after months and months of no rain at all. I'm right on the east coast in the St Augustine area.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

26. I love St. Augustine.

My family has a place there. We would go there every summmer. You gotta love St. George Street.

[TBF]

11. Probably not but it's a funny headline -

we can use the rain for sure.

[csziggy]

19. Great - the most probable track is right over my family members' homes!

My older sister in north Tampa, my parents in Bartow, my sister in Windermere, and my niece in Winter Gardens.

They need the rain, but not a year's worth in a couple of days!

[TahitiNut]

8. The temperatures in the Gulf sure are high enough to create Monster Storms.

When I hear "slow-moving" all the warning flags go up. "Slow-moving" means PLENTY of time to gather strength.

[malaise]

9. Yep and this is slow moving

Notice that the models are converging on Florida.

[Aerows]

15. My major concern, too

We had really warm weather this year - there was barely any freezes, and it started getting hot very early this year, so the water is very warm. (85° + in some places).

[mia]

12. Gulf of Mexico likely to see tropical storm

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/47904893/ns/weather/

A system developing in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to become Tropical Storm Debby by Saturday, the National Hurricane Center reported Friday morning.

It has a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical storm within 48 hours, the center said in a statement.

"The entire United States Gulf Coast should monitor the progress," it advised. "Heavy rains and localized flooding are possible across the Yucatan Peninsula (in Mexico), western Cuba and southern Florida through Saturday."

[mia]

16. Good website: Storm2k tropical weather central

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=112976&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=280

Storm2k Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[malaise]

18. Thanks

I love Jeff Masters at Weather Underground

[Solly Mack]

21. :(

[greytdemocrat]

22. Well...

All I know is we have gotten a ton of rain and the grass couldn't look happier!

[Baclava]

23. the fluffy clouds don't know which way to go, if anyone wants to suck them Texas-way,

go right ahead, now's the time

[mia]

24. TS Debby