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Tue Jan 17, 2017, 01:26 PM

 

Let's get something straight about the national polls

Donald Trump says that the national polls that show him at historically low numbers in popularity can't be believed because they were so inaccurate in regards to the 2016 election.

Most national polls had Hillary up 3 or 4 points on the eve of the election. She won by more than 2 points. That's not too far off at all. Granted that the state polls were off, but most of them are done by local newspapers or other outlets with smaller sample sizes.

But a 40% national approval rating is not 10 to 20 points off.

Trump is unpopular and them's the facts.

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Reply Let's get something straight about the national polls (Original post)
louis c Jan 2017 OP
HassleCat Jan 2017 #1
ProfessorGAC Jan 2017 #2
SHRED Jan 2017 #3
DrDan Jan 2017 #4

Response to louis c (Original post)

Tue Jan 17, 2017, 01:37 PM

1. Approval numbers will dive when reality comes knocking.

 

He probably won't get his ACA repeal, and that one will bite him either way. He's not putting Hillary in jail. He's not draining the swamp. He's French kissing Putin daily. He will be popular with the 30 percent or so who want to see him wreck the country, but even some of them will change their minds when their entitlements are cut. I figure 20 percent before his first year is up.

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Response to louis c (Original post)

Tue Jan 17, 2017, 01:42 PM

2. Nice Catch, Louis

And as to your "Not too far off", those national polls were +/- 2%, so really those polls were dead on within the margin of error.

The approval polls are probably similar. So, he's between 38 and 42. That's dreadful or dreadful. He can decide which he likes better.

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Response to louis c (Original post)

Tue Jan 17, 2017, 02:00 PM

3. Good catch

 

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Response to louis c (Original post)

Tue Jan 17, 2017, 02:04 PM

4. I don't believe them - probably closer to 25-30%

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