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Mon May 22, 2017, 07:38 AM

Extreme Maps

Using data from the 2012, 2014, and 2016 election cycles, Extreme Maps finds that partisan bias resulting largely from the worst gerrymandering abuses in just a few battleground states provides Republicans a durable advantage of 16-17 seats in the current Congress, representing a significant portion of the 24 seats Democrats would need to gain control of the House in 2020. These "extreme maps" were all drawn in states under single-party control; the report finds that conversely, maps drawn by independent commissions, courts, or split-party state governments had significantly less partisan bias in their maps.

https://www.brennancenter.org/publication/extreme-maps

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Arrow 5 replies Author Time Post
Reply Extreme Maps (Original post)
HAB911 May 2017 OP
sinkingfeeling May 2017 #1
HAB911 May 2017 #2
underpants May 2017 #3
dawg May 2017 #4
crazycatlady May 2017 #5

Response to HAB911 (Original post)

Mon May 22, 2017, 07:44 AM

1. In other words, even taking back the House in 2018 will be nearly impossible.

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Response to sinkingfeeling (Reply #1)

Mon May 22, 2017, 08:03 AM

2. very difficult

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Response to sinkingfeeling (Reply #1)

Mon May 22, 2017, 08:12 AM

3. Not if there's a seismic event as in 2006

The midterm we aren't supposed to talk about. The Repubs were crushed by themselves. The W fiasco couldn't be ignored any longer.

Unfortunately the GOP was very smart to spend the little bit of money it takes to capture state offices and then gerrymander after the 2010 census.

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Response to HAB911 (Original post)

Mon May 22, 2017, 08:32 AM

4. It wouldn't be that way if people would vote Democratic in state elections.

For whatever reason, the people of those states (including mine) elected Republican legislatures. Those legislatures then gerrymandered the Congressional districts.

That's what you get.

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Response to HAB911 (Original post)

Mon May 22, 2017, 09:02 AM

5. Focus on Democratic governors

Statewide races can't be gerrymandered.

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