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Fri Jun 30, 2017, 10:54 PM

Soon to be former US Senators

December 2017
Strange (R-AL) loses in the Republican primary.
Early 2018
Menendez (D-NJ) is forced to resign- Governor Murphy-D appoints successor.
November 2018
Carper (D-DE) retires- gets replaced by Markell-D,Blunt Rochester-D,or Denn-D
Cardin (D-MD) retires- gets replaced by Sarbanes-D, Jon Cardin runs for MD-3.
Corker (R-TN) retires- gets replaced by Haslam-R
Heller (R-NV) loses in the November General Election to Rosen-D
Flake (R-AZ) loses in the Republican primary or the November General Election against Mark Kelly-D
Hatch (R-UT) loses in the Republican primary.
Feinstein (D-CA) loses in November if a Democrat finishes in 2nd place in the blanket primary.
Democratic incumbent US Senators who are vulnerable in the November General Election
Donnelly (D-IN) loses if Republican nominee does not pull a Mourdock-R
McCaskill (D-MO) loses if Republican nominee does not pull an Akin-R
Heitkamp (D-ND) vs Cramer (R-ND) could go either way.

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Arrow 4 replies Author Time Post
Reply Soon to be former US Senators (Original post)
nkpolitics1212 Jun 2017 OP
7wo7rees Jul 2017 #1
nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 #2
Jimbo101 Jul 2017 #3
nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 #4

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Jul 1, 2017, 01:16 AM

1. You skipped CRUZ!

Cruz is going to lose. Bet on it. I know I am committed!

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Response to 7wo7rees (Reply #1)

Sat Jul 1, 2017, 01:17 PM

2. I will do everything to make sure Cruz (R-TX) loses. But here is the problem,

TX has not elected a Democrat to a US Senate since 1988 (Bentsen-D got re-elected to a fourth term), Democrats have not won any statewide election in TX since 1990/1994. Ann Richards-Governor-1990,Bob Bullock-Lt Governor-1994,Dan Morales-Attorney General-1994,John Sharp-Comptroller-1994, Garry Mauro-Land Commissioner-1994, and Jim Hightower-Agriculture Commissioner-1986.
Hightower lost re-election in 1990 to Rick Perry-R.
Mauro gave up the Land Commissioner position to run for Governor in 1998 against George W Bush-R (was replaced as by David Dewhurst-R)
Sharp gave up the Comptroller position to run for Lt Governor in 1998 against Rick Perry-R (was replaced by Caroline Keeton-R)
Morales gave up the Attorney General position in 1998 was replaced by John Cornyn-R.
Bullock gave up the Lt Governor position in 1988 was replaced by Rick Perry-R.
Richards lost re-election in 1994 to George W Bush.
Republicans have won every statewide election in Texas since 1998- most of it had to do with Bush's popularity in TX from 1994 to 2008.
Losing Democratic US Senate nominees in TX-
Victor Morales-1996-got 44 percent against Phil Gramm-R,
Ron Kirk-2002 got 43 percent against John Cornyn-R,
Rick Noriega-2008 got 43 percent against John Cornyn-R,
Paul Sadler-2012 got 41 percent against Ted Cruz-R.
Republicans margin of victory in TX during the 2016 Presidential election was much narrower than 2012. Beto O'Rourke-D -2018 is a stronger candidate than Paul Sadler-D- 2012. The only way O'Rourke could defeat Cruz is a Conservative Independent running in the November General Election and Democrats contesting low level statewide elections in TX.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #2)

Sat Jul 1, 2017, 02:28 PM

3. The good news is that Rick Perry hates Cruz -

and was trying to get Representative Michael McCaul to challenge Cruz - all of this was last year before the elections - so I don't know where it now stands.

The bad news is , at best, it would probably be another Republican in the seat -

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Response to Jimbo101 (Reply #3)

Sat Jul 1, 2017, 02:49 PM

4. What is the relationship between the Bush family and Cruz like?

George P Bush could do what Matt Dowd was unable to do. Challenge Cruz as an Independent.

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